The first group of Malaysian peacekeepers left the Philippines on Saturday as peace talks between the government and Muslim rebels were stalled. The stalled talks raised fears that clashes could escalate again in the troubled south. Malaysian Major General Datuk Mat Yasin Bin Mat Daud, leader of an international monitoring team, said he hopes a peace agreement will be signed soon. The withdrawal is a sign of Kuala Lumpur's impatience with the slow pace of negotiations that it has brokered to try to bring an end to more than 30 years of Muslim separatist insurgency. The departing 29 Malaysians represent half of the peacekeeping force, and the other 12 Malaysians are to depart August 31. There also are contingents from Brunei and Libya, plus one Japanese aid worker. Rebel negotiators walked away from a meeting in December to protest Manila's insistence on keeping any accord within the Philippine constitution. The Malaysian facilitator of the talks, Othman Abdul Razak, has said that if Manila "wants to stick to the constitution, things will not move." Rodolfo Garcia, the chief government negotiator, tried to allay fears that the Malaysians' departure would trigger renewed fighting between government troops and the 11,000-strong Moro Islamic Liberation Front (MILF). (Source: AP)
Iraq
Shiite groups brokered a reported cease-fire Saturday with militants fighting U.S. and Iraqi forces in Baghdad's Sadr City as the country's army launched an offensive in Mosul against Al Qaeda's main bastion in Iraq. Sheik Salah al-Obeidi, an aide to radical Shiite cleric Muqtada al-Sadr, said the cease-fire will go into effect Sunday. The cease-fire may not necessarily end the seven-week old clashes in Sadr City, the stronghold of al-Sadr's Mahdi Army, as U.S. military has blamed clashes on breakaway groups. The bulk of the 60,000-strong Mahdi Army is not believed to have participated in the clashes. Instead the violence is blamed on splinter groups that have refused to honor a general cease-fire ordered by al-Sadr last August. Al-Sadr has directed his supporters to only fight when attacked. There was no immediate comment from the U.S. military on the reported deal. (Source: AP)
U.S. troops fought street battles with Shiite militia in Baghdad's Sadr City, killing three people on the first full day of a deal to end fighting in the area, a military official said Monday. U.S. military spokesman Lieutenant Colonel Steven Stover said troops came under attack in three incidents on Sunday evening and Monday morning in Sadr City, stronghold of the Mahdi Army militia of anti-U.S. cleric Moqtada al-Sadr. Stover said two "criminals" were shot dead by U.S. troops in two confrontations while the third was killed by a tank shell. (Source: AFP)
United States
More than 43,000 U.S. troops listed as medically unfit for combat in the weeks before their scheduled deployment to Iraq or Afghanistan since 2003 were sent anyway, Pentagon records show. This reliance on troops found medically “nondeployable” is another sign of stress placed on a military that has sent 1.6 million service members to the war zones. (Source: ArmyTimes.com)
The military command overseeing the nation's most elite forces has moved away from a contentious plan that gave it broad control over anti-terrorism operations in Iraq, Afghanistan and other hot spots around the globe. The expanded authority for U.S. Special Operations Command in Tampa, Fla., was hammered through by former Defense Secretary Donald Rumsfeld well before he resigned in November 2006. The shift caused friction among leaders at other warfighting organizations who saw it an intrusion into their geographic domains. Navy Admiral Eric Olson, the command's senior officer since July 2007, has steered clear of micromanaging specific missions against Al Qaeda or other terrorist groups. The command's primary focus is to ensure these plans are fused into a broader strategy for defeating extremist ideologies. That reflects Olson's position that the troops closest to the action know best how to handle it. (Source: AP)
Terrorists, insurgents and other enemies of U.S. forces are likely to use more lethal weapons and some advanced fighting tactics in years to come, according to a new Army future threat assessment called “Asymmetric Threats to Current and Future U.S. Forces.” The assessment found that U.S. adversaries will likely use more unmanned aerial vehicles, improved rocket-propelled grenades, anti-tank guided missiles, shoulder-fired missiles, and vehicle-mounted mortars along with small to medium arms. The threat assessment cites the possibility of vastly increased UAV use by terrorist groups or hostile foreign governments. The report found that UAVs are currently in use by more than 32 countries worldwide, and that their costs are dropping with some of them priced at $2-3,000. The threats they pose are broken up into categories by the report including chemical threats, weaponized UAVs and so-called swarm UAVs which could be used to send hundreds of football-sized UAVs packed with explosives toward a target location. Another expected area of increased focus among potential enemies is so-called technicals, commercial vehicles outfitted with weapons such as mortars or small arms, the report states. Prevalent now in Iraq and Afghanistan, technicals have been used increasingly by insurgents. For instance, the report includes photographs of vehicle-mounted 14.5mm heavy machine guns hidden from view by a tarp. “Between January and March of 2007, insurgents in Iraq shot down multiple helicopters with technicals.” Also listed in the report is a new, more lethal, tandem blast RPG 32, a weapon able to fire from longer ranges and reload faster than its predecessor, the RGP 29. The mobile, six to ten-pound RPG 32 can hit targets out to 700 meters and beyond with anti-tank, anti-personnel and thermobaric rounds. Made by a Russian-Jordanian company called Bazalt, the RPG 32s are increasing available on the open market, Combs said. Of particular concern is the likelihood that groups of RPGs will be mounted on light aircraft and fired from the air.
(Source: ArmyTimes.com)
U.S. authorities rushed aid to disaster areas Monday after a series of tornadoes tore across the United States, killing at least 23 people and shattering homes and businesses. U.S. President George W. Bush called it a "sad day" for devastated communities in the states of Missouri, Oklahoma and Georgia and promised emergency federal aid. A total of 14 people were reported dead in Missouri, seven in Oklahoma, and two in the southeastern state of Georgia. There were also scores of injured. Numerous tornadoes touched down in Oklahoma late Saturday as the storms ripped across the state at 35-45 miles per hour (55-70 kmh), killing seven in the area near the town of Picher. Some 150 people were injured there. (Source: AFP)
Africa
Hundreds of rebels from war-ravaged Darfur clashed with Sudanese security forces on the doorstep of the capital Saturday in a dramatic widening of the five-year-old conflict. It was the first foray into the seat of the Sudanese government by a rebel group once confined to the western region, which is deeply scarred by the struggle between the ethnic African rebels and the Arab-dominated central government. The country's Interior Minister said government forces successfully "chased" away the rebels by nightfall, about three hours after the first outbreak of violence, and killed a rebel leader and his aide. State television showed footage of the fighters in handcuffs and soldiers driving confiscated jeeps through empty streets, saluting colleagues standing at attention. (Source: AP)
Sudan severed relations with Chad on Sunday, accusing it of supporting fighters who assaulted the capital the night before, and warned that a top Darfur rebel leader was hiding somewhere in the city. A curfew was lifted in Khartoum but remained in effect in the capital's twin city of Omdurman, where rebels were still loose. The country's official news agency said more than 300 rebels were arrested Sunday across Omdurman. (Source: AP)
Sudan on Monday arrested Islamist opposition leader Hassan al-Turabi and pressed its pursuit of Darfur rebels who threatened again to attack the capital as sporadic gunfire rang out across Khartoum.
Two days after Darfur rebels attacked the capital's twin city of Omdurman, witnesses said gunfire could be heard in Khartoum around the U.S. embassy as government forces continued to pursue Darfur rebels believed to be hiding. Associates of prominent opposition leader Hassan al-Turabi said he and at least four members of his Popular Congress party were rounded up on Monday. The arrests come two days after an attack on the capital by Darfur rebel group the Justice and Equality Movement (JEM), the first time regional rebels have ever brought decades of violence so close to the seat of Sudanese power. The most powerful rebel group fighting government forces in Darfur, the JEM shares the Islamist ideology of Turabi, although both he and the rebels have always denied any links with each other.
A friend-turned-foe of President Omar al-Beshir, Turabi last spent more than a year in detention after an alleged coup plot until he was freed in June 2005. (Source: AFP)
http://sg.news.yahoo.com/afp/20080512/twl-sudan-conflict-politics-4bdc673.html
Robert Mugabe's government Monday brushed off opposition calls for conditions to be attached to a run-off presidential vote in Zimbabwe, as first round victor Morgan Tsvangirai prepared to return home.
After more than a month spent lobbying neighbouring countries for support as his country sank deeper into a post-election crisis, Movement for Democratic Change (MDC) leader Morgan Tsvangirai has indicated his return is now imminent. But while Tsvangirai has insisted he will only run in a second round against Mugabe if the ballot is guaranteed to be free and fair, the government has ruled out any suggestion that Western observers will oversee the voting and said the MDC leader had no reason to fear for his safety. (Source: AFP)
Americas
The North American Aerospace Defence Command is reportedly already planning how it will protect the 2010 Olympics with potentially everything from fighter aircraft to sophisticated surveillance planes. (Source: Canada.com)
Authorities quarantined a train in Ontario Friday after a woman died and several others reported being ill. But a doctor later ruled out a serious infectious disease and said the train would likely soon resume its journey. Dr. David Williams, Ontario's chief medical officer, said that an elderly woman who died on the train did not have an infectious disease and the illnesses were unrelated. A passenger who was airlifted to a hospital and five others who reported being sick had unrelated minor illnesses, Williams said. He called it a confluence of three different events. (Source: AP)
A reconnaissance unit from the Canadian Forces' disaster assistance response team landed in Thailand yesterday to pave the way for a possible deployment to cyclone-stricken Myanmar. The Canadian advance team touched down in Bangkok the same day that the House of Commons unanimously adopted a motion calling on reclusive Myanmar to open its borders to foreign aid workers. (Source: Globe and Mail)
Gunmen killed the son of one of Mexico's reputedly most-powerful drug lords in the northern city of Culiacan, a government official said Saturday. The death of Edgar Guzman, son of suspected Sinaloa cartel chief Joaquin Guzman, comes as Mexico is shaken by a wave of drug-related violence as gangs battle security forces and each other for control of trafficking routes north. Edgar Guzman was shot dead in the Pacific Coast state of Sinaloa on Thursday, said an official with the federal Attorney General's office who was not authorized to be quoted by name. Mexican media reports said the gunmen opened fire on Guzman in the parking lot of a shopping center in Sinaloa's capital, Culiacan. About 500 bullet casings from AK-47 rifles were found at the site, El Universal and Reforma newspapers reported. (Source: APhttp://www.wtopnews.com/?nid=105&sid=1340803)
A newly disclosed set of documents that Colombia's government says were recovered from a slain rebel's computers indicate senior Venezuelan officials tried to help arm Colombia's main guerrilla army. The electronic documents, more than a dozen, were shown to The Associated Press on Friday. They detail alleged meetings between senior Venezuelan officials, including that country's chief of military intelligence and Interior Minister, and top leaders of the leftist Revolutionary Armed Forces of Colombia (FARC). Some discuss the procurement of weapons, others rebel training for Venezuelan home defense forces. Venezuelan officials maintain that Bogota is manipulating the truth. (Source: AP)
Asia
A U.S. diplomat left North Korea on Saturday with boxes of documents detailing two decades of activities at the nuclear reactor that has been at the heart of the communist country's nuclear weapons program. Washington plans to scrutinize the technical logs from the Yongbyon reactor to see if North Korea is telling the truth about a bomb program that it has agreed to trade away for economic and political rewards. Sung Kim, the U.S. State Department's top Korea specialist, returned to South Korea by land after collecting approximately 18,000 secret papers during a three-day visit to Pyongyang. The State Department said North Korea provided the records Thursday.
(Source: AP)
A powerful earthquake buried 900 students in central China on Monday and killed at least 107 people, as several schools and a water tower collapsed in the tremor, state media reported. The 7.8-magnitude earthquake struck central China, but sent thousands of people rushing out of buildings and into the streets hundreds of miles away in Beijing and Shanghai. The temblor was felt as far away as Pakistan, Vietnam and Thailand. (Source: AP)
The United States delivered its first relief supplies to Myanmar on Monday, as the U.N. urged the reclusive nation to open its doors to foreign experts who can help up to 2 million cyclone victims facing disease and starvation. The unarmed military C-130 cargo plane, packed with 28,000 pounds of supplies, flew out of the Thai air force base of Utapao and landed in Yangon, capping prolonged negotiations to persuade Myanmar's military government to accept U.S. help. Several Myanmar Cabinet ministers, military officers and the top U.S. diplomat in Myanmar, Shari Villarosa, greeted the plane. (Source: AP)
The lives of thousands of cyclone survivors are at extreme risk as people scramble out of the shattered Delta region to find food and shelter. Displaced people are living in appalling conditions in make-shift shelters and camps where overcrowding and unsanitary conditions are prevalent. These are the findings of a World Vision assessment team that visited 26 shelters across Myaung Mya. As thousands of villagers leave the hardest-hit areas of the Irrawaddy Delta, they embark on a journey where there is almost no food or shelter and water is contaminated by salt, human remains or animal carcasses. In Myaung Mya, an area some 50 kilometers north of the devastated town of Labutta, World Vision Myanmar staff says some 30,000 people are seeking food, water and medical attention. Children - many of them orphans, are suffering from fever, diarrhea and respiratory infections. (Source: Reuters)
Police detained more than 600 female Tibetan protesters, including many Buddhist nuns, on Sunday after breaking up several demonstrations against China's recent crackdown in Tibet. It was the largest number of protesters detained on a single day since Tibetan exiles began almost daily protests in March against Chinese policies in Tibet and the first time that only women demonstrated. (Source: AP)
Europe
A pro-Western coalition determined to bring Serbia into the European Union made a surprisingly strong showing in parliamentary elections, but faced the specter of a protracted power struggle with rivals who vowed to join forces to form a government. The challenge cast a shadow over President Boris Tadic's claim of victory in Sunday's vote, and triggered fresh political turmoil in a country divided over whether it should join the EU or shift toward its traditional ally Russia and revert to its nationalist past. Tadic proclaimed "a great day for Serbia" after projections by an independent monitoring group and partial results from the state electoral commission gave his Coalition for a European Serbia a 10 percent lead over the ultranationalist Radical Party. (Source: AP)
Air strikes launched in retaliation for a rebel raid killed 19 Kurdish fighters in Turkey's southeast, the military said Saturday. Six soldiers died in the violence. The military initially said two soldiers were killed in the attack late Friday but later raised the death toll to six, saying four more troops died while pursuing suspected rebels in Hakkari province. The Kurdistan Workers' Party (PKK), denied the military's claims of 19 rebel deaths, saying "not a single guerrilla was killed." The European-based, pro-Kurdish news agency Firat also quoted a rebel leader, Zubeyir Aydar, as saying PKK commanders "were on top of their duties." The military called the strikes in retaliation for a PKK attack earlier Friday on a military outpost in Hakkari province, an area where the borders of Turkey, Iran and Iraq meet. Firat said the PKK attacked the station with anti-aircraft guns and mortar shells, preventing the military from sending reinforcements to the area. (Source: AP)
Turkish warplanes and artillery units destroyed key Kurdish rebel positions in northern Iraq, including a communications center, in a second day of raids on rebel positions, the military said Sunday. Turkish troops "intensely and effectively" struck rebel targets in the Avasin-Basyan area in northern Iraq late Saturday but were careful to avoid civilians or local Iraqi Kurdish forces, the military said, without giving any casualty toll. In a separate statement a few hours later, the military said it also struck a rebel "media and propaganda" center. It gave no other details. There was no immediate rebel response to the claims. (Source: AP)
Middle East
Palestinian militants bombarded southern Israel with rockets and mortars on Saturday, part of a new outburst of violence that threatens fragile Egyptian efforts to broker a truce in the Gaza Strip. No one was hurt in the early morning attacks. The flare-up in violence began Friday when Hamas militants fired mortar shells that killed a 48-year-old Israeli man while he was gardening at his home near the Gaza border. Three other people were wounded. Israel retaliated by firing missiles at two Hamas police stations late Friday, killing five militants. Israel said militants fired 21 rockets and four mortars by late Saturday afternoon, directly striking a house in the rocket-scarred border town of Sderot, a frequent target for militants. Another landed next to a Jewish seminary and another in the courtyard of a local college. Egyptian intelligence chief Omar Suleiman is expected in Israel early next week to discuss his efforts to wrest a cease-fire from the two sides. A spokesman for Hamas' armed wing said his group would "continue fire until the last moment" before a cease-fire is completed. Palestinian militants frequently shoot crude rockets and mortars into southern Israel from Gaza. The attacks, which have killed 14 people since late 2001, often provoke Israeli airstrikes and ground incursions that kill far more Palestinians. Hostilities have ebbed since more than 120 Palestinians died in a a broad Israeli military offensive two months ago. Though both sides appear eager to halt the fighting, Hamas also wants Israel to end its blockade of Gaza, which is meant to pressure the group to stop Palestinian militants from firing their salvos into Israel. (Source: AP)
A member of the militant group Hamas has been killed in an explosion along Gaza's fence with Israel, the group said Sunday. The Islamic group's military wing says the member was killed and another injured during a "holy mission." Such language is used when explosives meant for an attack on Israel explode prematurely. Israel's army said it was not operating in the area at the time of the explosion early Sunday.
Fighting has escalated since an Israeli man was killed in a mortar shell attack on southern Israel on Friday. In retaliation, Israeli forces fired missiles that killed five Hamas militants. (Source: AP)
A Palestinian rocket landed in Sderot near a bus carrying schoolchildren on Sunday. The bus windows were shattered, a fire broke out nearby, and three children were treated for shock. (Source: Ynet News)
The first Palestinian rocket that struck Ashkelon on Monday landed near an elementary school. One woman suffered from shock and several houses sustained damage. Another landed in the Ashkelon. (Source: Ynet News)
Hezbollah gunmen melted off the streets of Beirut Saturday, heeding an army call to pull the fighters out after the Shiite militants demonstrated their military might in a power struggle with the U.S.-backed government. Prime Minister Fuad Saniora, in his first public statement since sectarian clashes erupted on Wednesday, said Lebanon can no longer tolerate Hezbollah having weapons. He called on the army to restore law and order and remove gunmen from the streets. Despite his tough talk, Saniora made a key concession to the Hezbollah-led opposition that would effectively shelve the two government decisions that sparked the fighting. At least 12 people were killed and 20 wounded when pro- and anti-government groups fought in a remote region of northern Lebanon. (Source: AP)
U.S. intelligence officials now reportedly suspect that Iran helped finance the secret nuclear reactor project in Syria. Syria is believed to lack the resources needed for the high costs associated with the large reactor complex and building containing a plutonium reactor at al Kibar, in a remote area of eastern Syria new the Euphrates River. The agreement between North Korea and Syria to build the reactor was developed in the late 1990s or early 2000s and by 2007 the reactor was nearly complete. The Israelis carried out an airstrike on the facility in September 6, knocking out the facility and revealing to both the Syrians and North Koreans that the secret reactor had been compromised. (Source: geostrategy-direct.com)
According to U.S. officials, European intelligence officials and diplomats, North Korean businessman Ho Jin Yun's Namchongang Trading (NCG) provided the critical link between Pyongyang and Damascus, acquiring key materials from vendors in China and probably from Europe, and secretly transferring them to a construction site near the Syrian town of Al Kibar. Western spy agencies were able to track the movement of NCG employees and purchases to Syria in 2003, where the outlines of the reactor scheme eventually became apparent. The Syrian site was closely scrutinized by Western intelligence officials for months before it was destroyed by Israel. Joint Chiefs of Staff Chairman Michael Mullen said, "The reactor which was being built was not very far from being operational and needed to be hit. U.S. officials say that as the government cleared the site of debris after the bombing, some telltale reactor components that had been deliberately hidden became visible. (Source: Washington Post)
http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2008/05/10/AR2008051002810.html
Syria went to extraordinary lengths to conceal its undeclared construction of a plutonium-producing nuclear reactor from spies in the sky and on the ground in recent years, according to a draft report by independent nuclear experts briefed by Bush administration officials. The effectiveness of the camouflage effort raises new doubts about the prospects for certain detection of future clandestine nuclear weapons-related activities, the Institute for Science and International Security concluded in its report on the Syrian facility. U.S. intelligence officials last month released images of the Syrian facility before it was bombed by Israel last September and bulldozed by the Syrian government once the raid became public. U.S. and Israeli officials have said the facility was a nearly completed nuclear reactor built with North Korean help and fitted with a false roof and walls that altered its shape when viewed from above. According to the ISIS report to be released this week, the fake roof was just the start. Syrian engineers went to "astonishing lengths" to hide cooling and ventilation systems, power lines and other features that normally are telltale signs of a nuclear reactor, authors David Albright and Paul Brannan wrote. For example, the main building appears small and shallow from the air, but it was evidently built over large underground chambers, tens of meters in depth, that were large enough to house the nuclear reactor, as well as a reserve water-storage tank and pools for spent fuel rods. An extensive network of electrical lines appears to have been buried in trenches. Traditional water-cooling towers were replaced with an elaborate underground system that discharged into the Euphrates River. And, instead of using smokestack-like ventilation towers prominent at many reactor sites, the ventilation system appears to have been built along the walls of the building, with louver openings not visible from the air, the authors contended. (Source: Washington Post)
At least 40 developing countries from the Persian Gulf region to Latin America have recently approached U.N. officials here to signal interest in starting nuclear power programs, a trend that concerned proliferation experts say could provide the building blocks of nuclear arsenals in some of those nations. At least half a dozen countries have also said in the past four years that they are specifically planning to conduct enrichment or reprocessing of nuclear fuel, a prospect that could dramatically expand the global supply of plutonium and enriched uranium, according to U.S. and international nuclear officials and arms-control experts. Much of the new interest is driven by economic considerations, particularly the soaring cost of fossil fuels. But for some Middle Eastern states with ready access to huge stocks of oil or natural gas, such as Kuwait, Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates, the investment in nuclear power appears to be linked partly to concerns about a future regional arms race stoked in part by Iran's alleged interest in such an arsenal (Source: Washington Post)
http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2008/05/11/AR2008051102212.html

Joe Varner is Assistant Professor and Program Manager for Homeland Security at American Military University
Strategic analysis by The Institute of Terrorism Research and Response
A recent upsurge in piracy in waters near Somalia, with 31 ships seized in 2007, has led the International Maritime Bureau to advise merchant ships against approaching closer than 200 nautical miles from the country's coast. The acts of piracy have been criminal in nature and have garnered pirates handsome sums of ransom money for their efforts.
In a recent hijacking, which ended Saturday when the pirates' demands were apparently met, a Spanish fishing boat carrying 26 crew members was seized on April 20, off the coast of Somalia. Spanish news media said that no official contacts between the pirates and the Spanish government took place, but that the ship's Spanish-Basque owners had been negotiating over pirate demands for one million euros (1.55 million US dollars) at a London hotel. Earlier this month, a French luxury yacht was overrun by pirates who also demanded a ransom. After they received the money, they released the ship's crew and passengers. However, the pirates were then captured by French commandos and brought to court in Paris.
But the recent French incident is the exception to the rule, as most pirates profit from their hijackings and escape to hijack another day.
In another recent maritime incident that appears to be terrorist in nature, and which was attributed to al-Qaeda affiliates in Yemen, a Japanese oil tanker was hit by fire from a mobile rocket launcher. The attackers were in a small, easily maneuverable and unidentified boat. The attack took place 270 miles off the east coast of southwest Yemen, April 21.
TAM-C analysts note that the successes of the pirates in the waters of Somalia and of the terrorists in the waters of Yemen are likely to lead to two developments further threatening local maritime travel and commerce:
a) Jihadist forces and criminal pirates will act in collusion, perhaps funding terrorist activities through piracy (just as crime and terrorism go hand-in-glove in Afghanistan, the Balkans, and elsewhere).
b) Jihadist forces will take note of how easy it is to obtain dozens of hostages through pirate tactics (overwhelming or intimidating a target ship's crew, rather than hit-and-run attacks, etc.), which they will then emulate in order to extort political concessions or to carry out mass murder of "infidels", rather than for ransom money.
Furthermore, as it becomes harder to target air travel and targets on land because of their hardened defenses, maritime travel may become a preferred target for terrorist hijackings. In 1985, an early case of just such an attack was the Achille Lauro hijacking by PLO terrorists.
In light of our analysis that jihadist "piracy" is just around the corner, TAM-C will be monitoring adversarial training and surveillance for planned maritime operations. Clients with maritime assets may contact ITRR for further briefings and updates.
A daily, open source, around the world tour of international security-related news.
By Professor Joseph B. Varner
Global War on Terror
A suicide bomber in a car blew himself up close to a convoy of foreign troops in Kabul on Thursday, but instead wounded three civilians. The bomber in a white Toyota Corolla vehicle died in the blast, which happened in the capital's western outskirts shortly after a convoy carrying foreign troops passed by, said a regional police chief Zulmay Khan.
Three civilians, including a woman and two men, were wounded in the blast. There were no reports of casualties among those in the convoy. (Source: AP)
Two female Japanese tourists kidnapped in Yemen's Marib province Wednesday were freed after tribal mediation. The two women were kidnapped by members of the Aziza tribe, who demanded that Yemeni officials release one of their tribesman who was in government custody, said the security official, speaking on condition of anonymity because he was not authorized to talk to the media. It was not immediately clear if the tribesman was released. (Source: AP)
A special immigration appeals commission in Britain has decided to release a Muslim preacher accused of having ties to Al Qaeda. Radical Muslim preacher Abu Qatada, who had been jailed in Britain since 2002, was granted bail Thursday by the Special Immigration Appeals Commission. (Source: AP)
Iraq
A rocket attack on a coalition military base in Basra killed two civilian contractors Friday. The two civilian contractors died when rockets slammed into the US-led coalition's base near Basra's international airport, wounding eight others, including four coalition soldiers. Coalition forces responded with Hellfire missiles, killing six militants. ( Source: AFP)
Africa
Pressure mounted on Zimbabwe Thursday to admit foreign observers to oversee a presidential election run-off amid fresh claims that pro-government militias were deliberately instilling terror. The opposition said 30 supporters had now been killed and a union chief said 40,000 farmworkers and their dependents had been made homeless, although authorities played down the levels of violence. Six days since results from an inconclusive March 29 poll were announced, there was still no word on when a second round would take place nor whether the opposition Movement for Democratic Change (MDC) would participate. ( Source: AFP)
Americas
A military judge threatened to suspend the war-crimes trial of a Canadian detainee, scolding the government Thursday for failing to provide records of his confinement at Guantanamo. Attorneys for Omar Khadr say details of his interrogations and mental health could provide grounds to suppress self-incriminating statements at the U.S. Navy base in southeast Cuba. Khadr is accused of killing a U.S. soldier in Afghanistan. (Source: AP)
Mexico's acting federal police chief was shot dead Thursday outside his home, a brazen attack that comes as drug traffickers increasingly lash back at a nationwide crackdown on organized crime. Edgar Millan Gomez was shot 10 times after he opened the door to his Mexico City apartment complex, where at least one gunman was waiting for him before dawn. Two bodyguards were also wounded. Millan died hours later in a hospital. ( Source: AP)
A leftist rebel group linked to a series of oil pipeline blasts on Wednesday rejected an offer from Mexico's government to hold talks. The People's Revolutionary Army dismissed a proposal by President Felipe Calderon because it said the offer showed no willingness to solve crimes allegedly committed by current and past administrations against its members. The small rebel group, known as the EPR, last week said it would call a cease-fire if the government stopped investigating its members and supporters. Mexico's Interior Department responded that it was ready to hold talks with the group, but would not halt investigations or prosecution of rebels. (Source: AP)
Brazil will permanently station troops in Indian reservations along its borders in response to growing concerns that its territorial sovereignty is at risk, Defense Minister Nelson Jobim said on Thursday. Indian lands account for roughly 12 percent of Brazil's vast territory and border on nearly all of its nine neighbors. (Source: Reuters)
Asia
Aid groups here report that people have began to starve to death in remote rural areas of North Korea where state food rations have been cut since late last year as grain prices have soared. Good Friends, a Seoul-based aid group, reported thatNorth Koreans in the South Pyongan Province are dying of starvation. (Source: World Tribune)
Several hundred Tibetan protesters tried to storm the Chinese Embassy's visa office in Nepal on Thursday, kicking the gates and throwing banners inside the fortified compound. More than 200 were detained. Thursday's protest by about 300 people, including many Buddhist monks and nuns, was the latest in a series of demonstrations by Tibetan exiles in Nepal and one of the largest in front of the visa office. The office is in the heart of Nepal's capital, Katmandu. (Source: AP)
At least 74 Tamil Tiger rebels and three Sri Lankan soldiers have been killed in the latest battles in the island's north, according to the defence ministry on Thursday. It said the three days of fighting that ended on Thursday occurred in the Vavuniya, Mannar and Weli Oya areas, from where government forces are trying to push into the guerrillas' northern territory. Troops on Thursday advanced into rebel-controlled areas in the Mannar district killing 10 guerillas, the statement said, adding that one soldier was killed and another injured in the clashes. (Source: AFP)
Pakistan said it test-fired a short-range cruise missile capable of carrying a nuclear warhead Thursday, one day after archrival India test-fired a long-range missile with nuclear capability. The 220-mile-range Pakistani missile, known as the Ra'ad or Hatf VIII, was developed exclusively for launch from aircraft. The statement did not disclose the launch site but said the missile "has special stealth capabilities," and is a "low altitude, terrain-following missile with high maneuverability." (Source: AP)
Europe
Serbia's rival nationalists and pro-Europeans on Thursday waged a last-ditch battle for votes ahead of weekend elections that give hardliners their best shot at power since Slobodan Milosevic's ouster. The ultra-nationalist Serbian Radical Party (SRS) are the frontrunners heading into Sunday's general elections, considered a referendum on European Union integration, thanks to the trauma of Kosovo's independence. With 34 percent of voter support in the latest survey, the SRS are tipped to form a nationalist government with the party of outgoing Prime Minister Vojislav Kostunica and Socialists of late president Milosevic. Trailing them by one percentage point are a pro-European camp spearheaded by President Boris Tadic's Democratic Party (DS), which is expected to struggle to find suitable coalition allies. (Source AFP)
When Boris Yeltsin left the Kremlin eight years ago, he gave Vladimir Putin the pen he had used to sign important documents and decrees, a gesture symbolizing the transfer of power to Russia's new president. When Putin left the Kremlin, he took the pen with him. Putin, who became prime minister Thursday, has signaled that he intends to remain Russia's principal leader, at least in the short term _ and possibly much longer. He is keeping the trappings of his presidency and many of its powers as well. ( Source AP)
Russia threatened Thursday to send more troops to the Georgian separatist province of Abkhazia if Georgia added to its own military presence in the region, Russian news agencies quoted the Defence Ministry as saying. The statement quoted by Interfax and RIA Novosti, said the current troop level was 2,542 servicemen and that the maximum allowed under accords ending fighting between Georgia and Abkhaz rebels in the 1990s was 3,000. The threat to send almost 500 more soldiers came despite an outcry from Georgia and its allies in the West over the earlier deployment of reinforcements announced last week. The total number of Russian troops in Abkhazia, whose separatist government is backed by Moscow, is not open to outside monitoring. On Sunday, a Defenee Ministry spokesman had told AFP that the number was already 3,000. (Source: AFP)
Middle East
On the eve of Israel's 60th Independence Day, the country's population stands at 7,282,000, according to the Central Bureau of Statistics. (Source: Jerusalem Post)
Sirens wailed across Israel and the nation came to a standstill in a solemn two-minute ritual Wednesday as the country marked its annual Memorial Day for fallen soldiers and victims of terror attacks. (Source: AP/International Herald Tribune)
Seven Palestinian men were wounded Tuesday in exchanges of fire between Palestinian Authority (PA) security forces and residents of the West Bank town of Kabatiya, near Jenin. A group of local residents, some of them armed and some affiliated with Islamic Jihad, did not approve of the PA's activity in the area. Residents claimed that the security forces fired at them massively and indiscriminately. (Source: Ynet News)
The PA operation in Kabatiya marked the first major test for a group of Presidential Guards who are at the forefront of a $28 million U.S. effort to bolster the PA's security capabilities. Islamic Jihad said two of its fighters were among the injured. (Source: Washington Post)
An Israel Air Force strike Tuesday on a Hamas mortar launching squad near Beit Lahiya in northern Gaza killed one gunman and wounded three others, according to Palestinian officials. ( Source: Ha'aretz)
Palestinians in Gaza fired two Kassam rockets that landed in Sderot on Tuesday. In addition, Palestinian terrorists fired six mortar shells at southern Israel. (Source: Jerusalem Post)
Sectarian fighting tore through the streets of Beirut on Thursday as Shiite Hezbollah supporters and the Lebanese government's Sunni backers battled with machine guns and rocket-propelled grenades after Hezbollah's leader vowed to fight any attempt to disarm his men. Security officials said four people were killed and eight wounded. Sunni leader Saad Hariri called on Hezbollah head Hassan Nasrallah to work with him to end the conflict between their factions and "pull fighters off the street ... to save Lebanon from hell." (Source: AP)
Two days of violence have erupted in Lebanon, weeks after the Lebanese Army became aware of and sought to stem the infiltration by insurgents from Syria. Officials said Lebanese Army and security forces have bolstered their presence along the border with Syria. They said the forces were sealing areas of the border used by Palestinian and other insurgents believed sent by the regime of Syrian President Bashar Assad. (Source: World Tribune)
A senior Israeli defense official said on Tuesday that Iran was now on track to master the technology needed to enrich uranium within six months. This means Iran could have a nuclear weapon by the middle of next year. Israel is also concerned that Iran is developing a cruise missile that can evade interception by Israel's Arrow anti-ballistic missile defense system. (Source: Jerusalem Post)
Iran said Thursday that a bomb, not an accident, caused last month's explosion in a mosque that killed 14 people and injured more than 200. Immediately after the April 12 blast in the southern city of Shiraz, Iranian officials said it was caused by a homemade bomb. The following day, the government changed its account and said the explosion was an accident caused by ammunition leftover from a recent military exhibition in the mosque. But Thursday's report by the official news agency IRNA again said the explosion was no accident, and those responsible had ties to the West. IRNA quoted Intelligence Minister Gholam Hossein Mohseni Ejehi as saying: "The group that planted the bomb had been in contact with some western countries, particularly Britain and the United States." Iranian security agents have detained six suspects but the main suspect was sill at large, Ejehi told reporters late Wednesday. (Source: AP)
Joe Varner is Assistant Professor and Program Manager for Homeland Security at American Military University
By Jenni Hesterman
On May 7, 2007, a lengthy federal investigation culminated with the arrests of six men accused of planning attacks at Fort Dix and possibly other military installations in New Jersey. According to the indictment, which was the result of a 16 month operation by the FBI and the Joint Terrorism Task Force, the men conducted multiple surveillance runs, purchased AK-47s and M-16s, and attempted to procure a rocket propelled grenade launcher to “increase the number of killings.”
Five of the six men are charged with conspiracy to murder members of the uniformed services, and all five have pled not guilty. Three of the defendants are brothers, Dritan Duka (age 28), Shain Duka (26) and Eljvir Duka (23), ethnic Albanians from the (former Yugoslav) Republic of Macedonia. The Duka family entered the U.S. illegally across the Mexican border in 1984. In 1989, their father (now facing multiple immigration charges) made an application for asylum with INS, acknowledging the family's illegal entry into the country; the case was not adjudicated and legal residency status never conveyed.
Between 1996 to 2006, police charged Dritan and Shain Duka with a number of offenses including marijuana possession, improper behavior, prowling, disturbing the peace, and obstructing the administration of law. They were fined between $20 and $830 on various occasions and sent home, according to court records. The three brothers were also issued about 50 traffic citations between 1997 and 2006 for speeding, driving without licenses, driving while on the suspended list, and failure to appear in court. Meanwhile, the Duka brothers operated a roofing business with several large contracts, including one to make repairs at their mosque, Masjid Al-Aqsa, located in Philadelphia.
Also charged in the case are Mohamad Ibrahim Shnewer (22), Dritan Duka's brother-in-law, a Palestinian cab driver from Jordan who is a naturalized U.S. citizen; Serdar Tartar, born in Turkey, who worked at his father's pizzeria and had regular access to Fort Dix; and Agron Abdullahu, an Albanian from Kosovo charged with aiding and abetting by providing weaponry instruction to the group. Earlier this year, Abdullahu pled guilty to 1 count of conspiracy to allow possession of firearms by illegal aliens and was sentenced to 20 months in jail, followed by 3 years of supervised release. Prosecutors say that although he supplied weapons to the group, he was against the idea of attacking a military installation. However, he was present with the other men, who laughed while watching a video that showed a U.S. Marine getting his arm blown off.
The plot unraveled in early 2006, when the men attempted to convert a videotape of their firearms training session into to a DVD at a Circuit City store in N.J. This caught the attention of store employee Brian Morgenstern, the unsung hero of this case, who notified the authorities and prevented untold casualties. The men continued to work at their jobs, while attempting to buy an arsenal of weapons from an FBI informant. Their conversations were taped by a confidential witness who infiltrated the group, and the transcripts provide a detailed, chilling look into the minds of these would-be murderers and their motivations.
Recent developments indicate the men are possibly engaged in terror recruiting while in prison awaiting trial, or at the very least, haven’t abandoned their radical cause. In December 2007, the court received evidence that Eljvir Duka wrote a letter to another Muslim inmate specifically stating “were (sic) going to sacrifice all for the sake of allah in jihad” and referring to the “fight we weren’t able to finish”. A video released by the court purportedly shows letters being delivered between their prison cells. The government also filed discovery with the courts indicating that defendant Shnewer gave another inmate a copy of an Al Qaeda-produced DVD last month. Guards found a copy of the disc in a book in the detention center's law library.
The debate about the authenticity of the letter, the letter exchange video and the Al Qaeda DVD will take place when the trial for the 5 remaining defendants starts September 29, 2008. An innovative website devoted to the trial was developed by the U.S. District Court trying the case, and contains orders and decisions by the court. Soon the court will post evidence presented by both the prosecution and defense, and will eventually provide updated coverage of the trial.
About the Author
Jenni Hesterman is a retired Air Force colonel and counterterrorism specialist. She is a senior analyst for The MASY Group, a Global Intelligence and Risk Management firm that supports both the U.S. Government and leading corporations. She is also an adjunct professor at American Military University, teaching courses in homeland security and intelligence studies.
A daily, open source, around the world tour of international security-related news.
By Professor Joseph B. Varner
Global War on Terror
A roadside bomb hit a police vehicle in eastern Afghanistan on Wednesday, killing two officers. The blast happened just outside the capital of Khost province as the officers traveled from their homes to work. On Tuesday, the U.S.-led coalition and Afghan troops detained 13 suspected militants during a raid in Zadran district of the neighboring Paktia province, the coalition said in a statement. One man received a head injury during the operation. He was transported to a military hospital for treatment.
Troops found weapons and ammunition following the search of the compounds. Militants are active in the country's east where they use the porous borders with Pakistan to move men and equipment into Afghanistan. (Source: AP)
A Canadian soldier was killed yesterday and another soldier was injured when they came under enemy fire during a patrol in the Pashmul region of the Zharey district in Afghanistan. (Source: Northumberland Today-CAN)
Unknown gunmen riding on a motorbike shot dead two policemen in Pakistan's south-west Balochistan province. The officers were on routine patrol in Sariab Road area of the provincial capital Quetta when they came under fire. Both died on the spot while the assailants managed to flee from the area. ( Source: TopNews.In)
Pakistan Interior Ministry is learnt to have cautioned the Sindh Home Department about the entry of as many as five members of Baitullah Mehsud group into Karachi to carry out suicide bombings in the city. Baitullah Mehsud is a tribal leader in the Waziristan region, and is known to have worked with and aided both the Taliban and Al Qaeda, but his primary objective is defending tribal autonomy and territory. His suicide bombers may target officials and government property of the Port City. (Source: ANI)
U.S. officials are being advised in internal government documents to avoid referring publicly to Al Qaeda and other terrorist groups as Islamic or Muslim, and not to use terms like jihad or mujahedeen, which "unintentionally legitimize" terrorism. Instead, in two documents circulated last month by the National Counterterrorism Center (NCTC), the multiagency center charged with strategic coordination of the U.S. war on terror, officials are urged to use terms such as violent extremists, totalitarian and death cult to characterize al Qaeda and other terrorist groups. (Source: Washington Times)
Al-Arabiya television reports it has identified the leader of Al Qaeda in Iraq and the network broadcast his photograph. The Dubai-based network, citing an Iraqi police official, said the real name of Abu Omar al-Baghdadi, who allegedly heads the Islamic State of Iraq, is Hamid Dawoud al-Zawi. Originally from Haditha, al-Baghdadi served in the Iraqi army under Saddam Hussein, then joined Al Qaeda in 2003, the police official told Al-Arabiya. The U.S. has described al-Baghdadi as a fictitious character. (Source: Fox News)
Iraq
A rocket slammed into Baghdad's city hall and another hit a downtown park Tuesday as more frightened civilians fled a Shiite militia stronghold where U.S.-led forces are locked in fierce street battles. The American push in the Sadr City district, launched after an Iraqi government crackdown on armed Shiite groups began in late March, is trying to weaken the militia grip in a key corner of Baghdad and disrupt rocket and mortar strikes on the U.S.-protected Green Zone. But fresh salvos of rockets from militants arced over the city, wounding at least 16 people and drawing U.S. retaliation that escalated civilian panic and flight to safer areas. One rocket, apparently aimed at the Green Zone, blasted the nearby city hall. Three 122 mm rockets hit parts of central Baghdad, including destroying some playground equipment in a park. An Iraqi police station was damaged by a rocket that failed to detonate. U.S. forcing used airstrikes and tank fire against suspected militia positions following a rocket attack late Monday in Sadr City, the military said. At least six people were killed. An attack aircraft later fired two Hellfire missiles and killed three militants who were planting a roadside bomb in the Shiite neighborhood of New Baghdad on Tuesday. At least four civilians were killed in the clashes. The latest battles came as the Pentagon announced plans to cut U.S. troop strength by about 3,500 toward its goal of withdrawing the bulk of its "surge" forces sent last year into Baghdad and surrounding areas.
In the northern city of Mosul, one U.S. soldier was killed in an attack by Sunni insurgents on an American patrol. (Source: AP)
Iraq's ambassador to the U.S. said yesterday that a high-level committee will investigate Iran's role in arms trafficking across his country's borders, after the discovery of large caches of weapons and explosive devices recently manufactured in Iran. (Source: Washington Times)
John Bolton, America’s ex-ambassador to the U.N., has called for U.S. air strikes on Iranian camps where insurgents are trained for war in Iraq. Mr Bolton said that striking Iran would represent a major step towards victory in Iraq. While he acknowledged that the risk of a hostile Iranian response harming American’s overseas interests existed, he said the damage inflicted by Tehran would be “far higher” if Washington took no action. ( Source: Telegraph-UK)
United States
At the end of a tattered, sunbaked runway dotted with large green tents here is a building aptly called the Expeditionary Legal Complex Courtroom, surrounded by coils of concertina wire, where the most notorious alleged terrorists in U.S. custody are supposed to face charges related to the September 11, 2001, attacks. Nearly seven years later, however, not one of the approximately 775 terrorism suspects who have been held on this island has faced a jury trial inside the new complex, and U.S. officials think it is highly unlikely that any of the September 11 suspects will before the Bush administration ends. (Source: Washington Post)
A senior administration official said Wednesday America's spy agencies for the first time would be tasked with gathering intelligence on threats to the nation's computer networks under a policy that could be detailed by the White House as early as next week. Speaking at a security conference in Washington, the official said the Bush administration wants to harness the intelligence community's offensive capabilities in defense of government and civilian computer systems. (Source: Washington Post)
Africa
The tiny port nation of Djibouti, a key U.S. ally in the Horn of Africa, has urged the U.N. Security Council to take immediate action to prevent a conflict with its northern neighbor Eritrea. In a letter to the council president circulated Tuesday, Djibouti's Foreign Minister Mahmoud Ali Youssouf said Eritrea has launched a major military buildup on their border overlooking critical Red Sea shipping lanes. He accused Eritrea of carrying out "an undisguised and naked provocation against my country's sovereignty and territorial integrity." More than 1,200 U.S troops are stationed in Djibouti, which hosts the base for an anti-terrorism task force in the Horn of Africa. France also has a base in Djibouti, its former colony. (Source: AP)
http://www.wtopnews.com/?nid=105&sid=1399409
The peacekeeping force in Darfur said Tuesday it was still trying to evacuate those wounded in airstrikes two days earlier that an aid group reported left 12 people dead, including six children. The U.N. Humanitarian Coordinator for Sudan, Ameerah Haq, called for immediate access to the wounded. (Source: AP)
http://www.wtopnews.com/?nid=105&sid=582272
The main militant group in Nigeria's oil-rich southern region said Tuesday that it is willing to cease hostilities if the federal government agrees to mediation by Jimmy Carter.
The Movement for the Emancipation of the Niger Delta said the former U.S. President had accepted their invitation to help negotiate an end to the long-running conflict that has disrupted petroleum exports and contributed to the sharp rise in oil prices. (Source: AP)
http://www.wtopnews.com/?nid=105&sid=673581
Zimbabwe, already facing a presidential run-off, hit new electoral turmoil on Wednesday after the ruling party and opposition filed legal challenges to half of the parliamentary results from March's polls. State media said President Robert Mugabe's ZANU-PF party, which lost its majority for the first time in the March 29 election, was now challenging the outcome in 53 of the 210 constituencies while the opposition was disputing 52. The Herald newspaper, the government's mouthpiece, said the volume of petitions filed with the electoral court had prompted the country's chief justice to appoint 17 more judges there. (Source: AFP)
http://sg.news.yahoo.com/afp/20080507/twl-zimbabwe-vote-4bdc673.html
Burundi's last rebel group, the Forces for National Liberation (FNL), said on Wednesday it would return home to implement a long-awaited peace deal and drop its demand for an amnesty, boosting hopes for peace in the tiny country.
(Source: Reuters)
http://www.alertnet.org/thenews/newsdesk/L07781611.htm
Americas
Canada's border control agency doesn't know the whereabouts of 41,000 people ordered to leave the country, a national government watchdog agency said Tuesday. The report by Auditor General Sheila Fraser criticized the Canada Border Services Agency for failing to monitor observance of its removal decisions. The agency said in the report that it agreed with all of the auditor's recommendations for improvements. Fraser's report said the agency lacked contact information for 41,000 of the 63,000 people ordered to leave the country as of September 2007. It said the majority ordered deported were rejected refugee applicants and didn't pose "a very high risk to the public."
The report said the agency removed about 12,600 individuals in 2006 and 2007, including 1,900 criminals who "posed a high risk to Canada." (Source: AP)
http://www.wtopnews.com/?nid=105&sid=1399337
Colombia extradited one of the country's most feared paramilitary warlords to the United States early Wednesday to face drug trafficking charges. Carlos Mario Jimenez was flown to Washington, D.C., via Miami on a Drug Enforcement Administration plane, according to President Alvaro Uribe's office. The announcement came just hours after Colombia's top judicial panel overturned a Supreme Court decision that had temporarily blocked the extradition. (Source: AP)
http://www.wtopnews.com/?nid=105&sid=1399606
A suspected international arms dealer is accused of conspiring to sell to Marxist guerrillas in Colombia millions of dollars worth of weapons to be used to kill Americans there, according to a federal grand jury indictment unsealed yesterday in New York. U.S. Attorney Michael J. Garcia said the indictment stated that Viktor Bout had carried out his weapons-trafficking business since the 1990s by assembling a fleet of cargo airplanes capable of transporting weapons and military equipment to various parts of the world, including Africa, South America and the Middle East. (Source: Washington Times)
http://www.washingtontimes.com/apps/pbcs.dll/article?AID=/20080507/NATION/130753341/1002
Asia
The leaders of Japan and China called for a new era in relations at a summit Wednesday, pledging to hold annual meetings, resolve an angry dispute over maritime gas deposits and not allow their bitter history to divide them. The carefully choreographed summit between Japanese Prime Minister Yasuo Fukuda and Chinese President Hu Jintao, the first visit by a Chinese president to Tokyo in a decade, was aimed at bolstering ties between the Asian giants. (Source: AP)
http://www.wtopnews.com/?nid=105&sid=1398881
New outbreaks in China reported Wednesday put the number of children infected with hand, foot and mouth disease above 15,000 and the death toll has risen to at least 28 across the country. A 2-year-old girl in the southern province of Hunan died of the disease after being in a coma, the provincial health bureau said on its Web site.
Another death was reported in the neighboring Guangxi region, Guangxi health officials said but did not give any details. The official Xinhua News Agency said the victim was a 3-year-old boy who died May 3. (Source: AP)
http://www.wtopnews.com/?nid=105&sid=1397348
Following Saturday's devastating Cyclone Nargis in Myanmar it is now reported that nearly 22,500 were killed and some 41,000 missing. About 1 million people are homeless and about 5,000 sq km (1,930 sq miles) remain underwater in Irrawaddy delta. (Source: Reuters)
http://www.alertnet.org/thenews/newsdesk/SP320706.htm
Europe
Polish authorities charged the Kuwaiti ambassador's son with briefly abducting three Jewish teenagers at a hotel and claiming he had a bomb, police said Tuesday. The 23-year-old son of Ambassador Khaled Al-Shaibani, identified only as Mohammad A., was charged with holding the teenagers against their will. (Source: AP) http://www.wtopnews.com/?nid=105&sid=1399397
Russian and U.S. officials signed a key agreement on civilian nuclear power Tuesday that could give Washington access to Russian technology and potentially hand Moscow lucrative deals on storing spent fuel. The deal, signed on the eve of Dmitry Medvedev's inauguration as president, signals a reversal in policy for the U.S. administration on cooperating with Russia on nuclear issues. Cooperation had cooled in recent years, mainly due to disagreements over how to handle Iran's perceived nuclear threat. (Source: AP)
http://www.wtopnews.com/?nid=105&sid=1398975
Dmitry Medvedev has taken the Russian Presidential oath of office, succeeding his patron Vladimir Putin. Wednesday's inauguration ceremony in the Kremlin's golden-hued Andreyevsky Hall brings Putin's eight years as president to an end. But Putin is sure to continue to wield huge influence in the country. One of Medvedev's first acts as president is expected to be the nomination of Putin as Prime Minister. Medvedev in turn has pledged to continue the policies pursued by Putin. (Source: AP)
http://www.wtopnews.com/?nid=105&sid=1399623
Middle East
Israel was bracing on Tuesday for a possible eruption in the political landscape if Prime Minister Ehud Olmert resigns or is suspended over the latest corruption probe into his affairs. The atmosphere of uncertainty has been heightened by a whirl of rumors and speculation due largely to a media blackout imposed on details of the case against the 62-year-old premier. The anti-fraud investigation is the fifth such probe of Olmert's dealings before he became prime minister in 2006, although one case against him has been dismissed. He has denied any wrongdoing. (Source: AFP)
http://sg.news.yahoo.com/afp/20080506/twl-mideast-israel-politics-corruption-o-575b600.html
Israeli tanks and bulldozers rumbled into the southern Gaza Strip early Wednesday, and Israel Air Forces aircraft struck a series of targets. At least 11 Palestinians, most of them militants, were wounded in the fighting. Palestinian witnesses said a total of 25 tanks and armored bulldozers entered Abassan, an area east of Khan Younis, setting off battles with local militants. Israeli aircraft carried out at least three airstrikes, including one attack that struck six Hamas militants. Three of the men were in critical condition.
Five other Palestinians, including one civilian, were wounded in two other airstrikes. After months of fighting, Egypt has been trying to mediate a truce between Israel and Hamas. The Egyptian intelligence chief, Omar Suleiman, is expected in Israel early next week to discuss his efforts, though it remains unclear whether he will be able to forge a deal. (Source: Ha’aretz)
http://www.haaretz.com/hasen/spages/981576.html
At least three people were wounded Tuesday as Palestinian security forces who were trained in a U.S.-funded program battled gunmen in a northern West Bank town long known for its lawlessness. The operation marked the first major test for a group of Presidential Guard officers who are at the forefront of a $28 million U.S. effort to bolster the Palestinian Authority's security capabilities through training and equipment. The effort is considered vital as the Palestinian Authority negotiates a peace deal with Israel, which has sharply criticized the authority for not doing enough to crack down on armed groups. In Tuesday's clashes, one person, a 20-year-old student, was critically wounded by a bullet to the head, security and medical officials said. Two other people were later shot in the legs. (Source: Washington Post)
http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2008/05/06/AR2008050602085.html
Israeli security has been stepped up in recent days following an increase in intelligence warnings of terrorist plans to carry out attacks during the Independence Day holiday.
Security sources that in recent days the number of specific warnings has risen to 11, from seven two weeks ago. These warnings have led the Shin Bet security service and the Israel Defense Forces to raise their levels of preparedness. In parallel to the specific threats, there are till dozens of warnings that intelligence assessments term "general."
(Source: Ha’aretz)
http://www.haaretz.com/hasen/spages/981374.html
Supporters of Lebanon's Hizbullah-led opposition blocked main roads in Beirut with burning barricades on Wednesday, paralyzing the city and deepening a political conflict with the US-backed government. The opposition supporters set cars and tires ablaze to block the main road to Beirut's international airport, where air traffic was suspended because of a strike by staff taking part in a labor union protest to demand higher wages. The opposition has backed the strike. Activists loyal to Hizbullah, a political group with a guerrilla army and backing from Iran and Syria, also blocked routes to Beirut's main commercial district. (Source: Ynet News)
http://www.ynetnews.com/articles/0,7340,L-3540581,00.html
The head of the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) urged Washington on Tuesday to show more sensitivity in dealing with Iran if it hopes to see Tehran make concessions on its nuclear program. The diplomats, speaking to The Associated Press after a meeting between IAEA chief Mohamed ElBaradei and Undersecretary of State John Rood, said the American diplomat made no commitments, but promised to take ElBaradei's concerns back to his superiors. Rood, the top U.S. official on nuclear nonproliferation, declined to go into details of his discussions with ElBaradei beyond confirming that Iran and Syria were among the topics of the meeting. But one diplomat, who agreed to discuss the substance of the confidential meeting only on condition of anonymity, said ElBaradei urged the U.S. to broaden its approach to Iran to address Tehran's economic and security concerns in exchange for nuclear concessions. (Source: AP)
http://www.wtopnews.com/?nid=105&sid=1399358
A daily, open source, around the world tour of international security-related news.
By Professor Joseph B. Varner
Global War on Terror
U.S.-led coalition troops killed several militants during a raid in eastern Afghanistan, while a roadside bomb in the south wounded five people, including three policemen, officials said Tuesday. The coalition troops killed the militants during a raid Monday on several compounds in the Achin district of Nangarhar province. During the raid troops also detained a militant suspected of involvement in helping foreign fighters and conducting bomb attacks in the region. The coalition did not provide the exact numbers of militants killed. ( Source: AP)
A leading human rights group on Tuesday accused Ethiopian troops in Somalia of killing civilians and committing atrocities, including slitting people's throats, gouging out eyes and gang-raping women. In a new report, Amnesty International detailed chilling witness accounts of indiscriminate killings in the Horn of Africa country and called on the international community to stop the bloodshed. Ethiopia's government said the report was unbalanced and "categorically wrong." The London-based rights group said testimony it received suggested all parties to Somalia's conflict have committed war crimes. But it singled out Ethiopian troops, who are in the country to back Somalia's U.N.-sponsored government, for some of the worst violations. (Source: AP)
Lebanon began an investigation Monday into allegations that the militant Hizbullah group set up surveillance cameras near the Beirut airport to monitor the comings and goings of anti-Syria Lebanese politicians and foreign dignitaries. The charges have intensified political tensions in the country, giving a new twist to the war of words between Lebanese factions that support the Western-backed parliament majority and the Hizbullah-led pro-Syria opposition. Judicial officials said Prosecutor General Saeed Mirza ordered the investigation after receiving documents from the defense and interior ministers about Hizbullah's alleged placement of cameras just outside the airport in the Lebanese capital. ( Source: AP)
Intelligence sources and Western diplomats have told The Times that a new force, an Algerian group calling itself Al Qaeda in the Land of Islamic Maghreb (AQIM), aims to create an arc of influence throughout North Africa by spreading Osama bin Laden’s “brand” through a fusion of disparate fundamentalist groupings. Ernst Uhrlau, the head of the German foreign intelligence agency, said recently: “We are watching the activities of Al Qaeda in North Africa with great concern. A handful of groups have become ensconced there, largely unobserved, and are strengthening bin Laden’s terrorist network. What is evolving there brings a completely new quality to the jihad on our doorstep.”
In Tunisia this week the French President Sarkozy echoed this nervousness. Sarkozy warned: “Who could believe that if tomorrow, or after tomorrow, a Taliban-type regime were established in one of your countries in North Africa, Europe and France could feel secure?” In 2006, on the fifth anniversary of the September 11 attacks, the Salafist Group for Prayer and Combat , a fundamentalist group that has rejected an Algerian offer of an amnesty and pardon, announced its “merger” with Al Qaeda and an oath of allegiance to bin Laden. (Source: The Times-UK)
Islamic fighters say an overnight U.S. airstrike blasted a remote area of central Somalia hours after armed civilians met there, but no one was hurt. The U.S. military denies the report. Two Islamic insurgents say they heard airplanes overnight and about 10 explosions in the Odam rural area where armed civilians had been meeting Monday. They alleged the strike was carried out by the U.S., though they gave no evidence.
A spokesman for the U.S. military in Tampa, Florida, said the U.S. had "no activities there overnight." Last week, a U.S. airstrike killed the suspected leader of Al Qaeda in Somalia and 24 other people. (Source: AP)
Four police officers were killed when a roadside bomb exploded in Grozny, Chechnya, Russian prosecutors said Monday. An investigation into the incident by the Russian prosecutor's office of the Chechen Republic in under way, ITAR-TASS reported. Criminal proceedings have also been initiated in connection with the incident. According to Chechen police, the explosion happened at 11:10 p.m. Sunday, ITAR-TASS reported. It struck officers of the district's Interior Ministry as well as a patrol service regiment that was on duty. The explosion was detonated by a radio-controlled device at a crossroads. (Source: UPI)
The intelligence communities of the European Union and the United States are moving apart in their perception of the Al Qaeda threat. CIA Director, Michael Hayden, said the intelligence agencies of the United States and the European Union view differently what he termed terrorism and other issues. Hayden said his government regarded Al Qaeda as part of a global threat while EU members focused on law enforcement. Still, Hayden said U.S. and EU intelligence cooperation was closer than ever. (Source: World Tribune)
FBI Director Robert Mueller said last week that the FBI has uncovered small groups of Al Qaida terrorists in the United States, although he declined to provide details.
In House Judiciary Committee testimony, Mueller was asked about cells of Al Qaeda in the country. “As to your first question as to whether we have found affiliates or, as you would call them, cells of Al Qaeda in the United States, yes, we have. Again, I cannot get into it in public session, but I would say yes, we have.” Mueller defended the FBI’s Muslim outreach program that critics say have put the bureau in a role of providing legitimacy to Muslim groups that support overseas extremists. (Source: World Tribune)
Iraq
About 3,500 American soldiers are scheduled to leave Iraq in the coming weeks, the U.S. military announced, part of a plan to reduce the number of troops who were part of last year's "surge" by 20,000. The soldiers, part of the 3rd Heavy Brigade Combat Team, will redeploy to Fort Benning, Georgia. The U.S. sent some 30,000 additional troops into Iraq last year to help stem growing violence. The troop increase, a truce by a key Shiite Muslim militia and the rise of Sunni fighters who allied with the U.S. in the battle against Al Qaeda were credited with a sharp decrease in bloodshed during the last 10 months. The soldiers are part of the third of five "surge" brigades scheduled to leave the country. The other two are expected to return to the U.S. by the end of July, leaving an estimated 140,000 troops in Iraq after a peak of more than 160,000. (Source: AP)
United States
The commitment of forces in Iraq and Afghanistan by America would make it "a very significant challenge" to go to war on a third front with Iran. Admiral Mike Mullen, the Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, conceded that the U.S. did not have a free hand to confront Iran, when questioned about Washington's response to the possibility of a nuclear attack on Israel by Tehran. ( Source: The Times-UK)
Admiral Eric T. Olson said Monday in his first interview since becoming commander of U.S. Special Operations Command last July that the wars in Iraq and Afghanistan are making such heavy use of the nation's Green Berets and other elite warriors that they cannot fulfill their roles in other parts of the world Olson said, "We're going to fewer countries, staying for shorter periods of time, with smaller numbers of people than historically we have done." (Source: AP)
Eight ships that were supposed to be the government's latest, best weapon for stopping terrorists, illegal immigrants and smugglers now float unused in a U.S. Coast Guard shipyard in Baltimore, the symbol of a nearly $100 million taxpayer debacle. Instead of patrolling, the ships were deemed unfit for the high seas after just a couple of months of use and eventually will be dismantled without ever fulfilling their promise. The Coast Guard hopes to finally put the problems with its much maligned "Deepwater" program behind it, taking ownership this month of a brand new 418-foot national security cutter that was built from scratch after contractors bungled the modernization of the earlier eight ships. Commissioning of the USCGC Bertholf will be the next major step in a 25-year, $24 billion project to extend the Coast Guard's reach further than ever before beyond U.S. shores. Taxpayers, however, won't see much benefit until the Bertholf is tested and cleared for duty over the next couple of years. ( Source: Washington Times)
Africa
Zimbabwe's ruling party urged supporters Tuesday to refrain from violence in the build-up to a presidential election run-off, accusing the West of trying to turn the region into a "theatre of war". (Source)
Americas
Allowing an industry lobby group to oversee the safety of business aircraft in Canada has created a system plagued with troubling holes, a federal review has found. The Transport Canada review last year flagged shortcomings in the way the Canadian Business Aviation Association was running the program, including:
No procedures to cancel or suspend a private operator's certificate when problems are found.
No structured oversight of private operators.
No collection or analysis of safety data to ensure the program's effectiveness.
The review was obtained by the Star under access to information legislation.
(Source: The Star)
Chief of Defence Staff, General Rick Hillier, has warned that Canada's armoured vehicles are limited in the amount of protection they can carry, so the military is starting to look for a replacement in the near future. The Chief of the Defence Staff said the LAV-3s are excellent and many improvements have been made to ensure that troops in Afghanistan are better protected. However, General Hillier also points out that the LAV-3's suspension and other technical aspects of the vehicle have been pushed to the limit by the improvements. That, in turn, prevents more armour or other systems from being installed. (Source: Ottawa Citizen)
The Royal Canadian Mounted Police (RCMP) have charged that tens of thousands of Sri Lankans living in Canada have been funding the Tamil Tigers' terrorism campaign through a secret strategy of profiling carried out using Canada's electoral database. In what amounts to the most detailed examination of alleged terrorist fundraising ever filed in a federal court, the national police force claims as much as $50,000 a month was being drawn from bank accounts in Toronto and funnelled to the Tamil Tigers in Sri Lanka. The Tigers' operation in Canada, responsible for providing 15 per cent of global funds for the secession movement, identified potential donors by postal code and used a "sales team" of locals to extract the cash, alleges the 400-page police affidavit unsealed in the Federal Court of Canada this week. The affidavit suggests the Toronto offices of the World Tamil Movement - a non-profit organization - may have been generating funds for the Tigers. The RCMP says it has also obtained a significant letter sent to Toronto from the head of the Tamil Tigers. Velupillai Prabhakaran, one of the world's most sought-after fugitives, is said to have urged that Canadian Tamils commit about 15 per cent of the global contribution to his cause. In 2006, the RCMP raided the Montreal and Toronto offices of the World Tamil Movement, just days after the Conservative government declared the Tamil Tigers a banned terrorist entity. ( Source: Globe and Mail)
Ottawa is giving $5 million to the provinces and territories to ensure they’re able to respond when disaster strikes, Public Safety Minister Stockwell Day said Monday during a stop in Toronto to kick off Emergency Preparedness Week. The funds, available under the Joint Emergency Preparedness Program, are expected to support some 360 local emergency preparedness projects aimed at purchasing new equipment, enhancing training and emergency management planning. (Source: Chronicle Herald)
Asia
The risk of a human influenza pandemic remains real and is probably growing as the bird flu virus becomes entrenched in poultry in more countries, health officials warned on Tuesday. Some 150 experts are attending a meeting hosted by the World Health Organization (WHO) to update its guidance to countries on how to boost their defences against a deadly global epidemic. The H5N1 avian flu virus has infected flocks in much of Asia, Africa and parts of Europe. Experts fear it could mutate into a form that passes easily from person to person, sparking an influenza pandemic that could kill millions. (Source: Reuters)
China's outbreak of child-targeting hand-foot-mouth disease is spreading, with nearly 12,000 cases and 26 deaths reported by officials. The disease is caused by a virus that causes small, blister-like bumps in the mouth, hands and feet. The blisters may also appear in the diaper area and on the legs and arms. The worst-affected is China's eastern Anhui province, where 22 children have died in Fuyang City alone, Xinhua reported.
Total number of cases reported in the province now exceeds 5,800, including 689 new ones registered Sunday. Of those, 1,314 remain hospitalized. Health officials say some cases have been triggered by enterovirus 71 or EV71, a highly contagious virus that preys on children usually between ages 2 and 6, the report said. The report said tests have shown 25 of the 26 deaths reported so far were as a result of EV71. (Source: UPI)
Deputy U.S. Secretary of State John Negroponte will travel to Seoul, Tokyo and Beijing this month, the State Department announced on Tuesday as the United States continues its push for a long-delayed declaration of North Korea's nuclear activities. Negroponte will travel to the three Asian capitals May 7 to 12 "for discussions with his counterparts on a broad range of bilateral, regional and global issues." The statement said Negroponte would consult with South Korea, Japan and China on recent developments in the region and political and economic issues and strengthen ties and cooperation on regional and global issues. It gave no other details. China hosts six-party talks aimed at getting North Korea to eventually give up all nuclear weapons and programs under a 2005 multilateral agreement. Tokyo and Seoul are involved as well. The agreement to denuclearize the Korean Peninsula was reached among the two Koreas, China, Japan, Russia and the United States. (Source: Reuters)
The toll from the cyclone that battered Myanmar last weekend rose above 22,000 dead and 41,000 missing Tuesday as the international community prepared to rush in aid, state radio reported. A news broadcast on government-run radio said that 22,464 people have now been confirmed dead from Cyclone Nargis, which tore through the country's rice bowl and biggest city of Yangon early Saturday. The broadcast added that 41,000 were still missing, raising fears the death toll would soar. ( Source: AP)
Pakistan's new government, already at odds over how to confront President Pervez Musharraf, faced new strains Tuesday over a delay in elections in which ruling coalition leaders had hoped to run for Parliament. (Source: AFP)
Europe
Boris Tadic, the pro-Western president of Serbia, has received death threats in a tense week leading up to a crucial parliamentary election, officials and the news media said Monday. The newspaper Blic reported that Tadic had received a letter accusing him of "treason" and warning that he would "receive what he deserves, a bullet in the forehead." ( Source: IHT)
Russian and U.S. officials are to sign an agreement on civilian nuclear power that would reverse decades of little cooperation and hand Russia lucrative deals on storing spent nuclear fuel. A U.S. Embassy official says the deal is to be signed Tuesday, the last day of Vladimir Putin's Presidency. Dmitry Medvedev succeeds Putin as president Wednesday. Work on the agreement got under way after Putin and President Bush pledged to increase cooperation in this field at the G-8 summit in St. Petersburg in 2006.
The Bush administration's willingness to reverse course and work with Russia appears to reflect the U.S. view that Moscow is now a partner in the effort to persuade Tehran to abandon its nuclear weapons ambitions. (Source: AP)
Russia's deployment of extra troops in the breakaway Georgian region of Abkhazia has brought the prospect of war "very close", a minister of ex-Soviet Georgia said on Tuesday. Separately, in comments certain to fan rising tension between Moscow and Tbilisi, the "Foreign Minister" of the breakaway Black Sea region was quoted as saying it was ready to hand over military control to Russia. (Source: Reuters)
Middle East
World oil reached a new record price near 121 dollars a barrel as concerns over the United States economy eased, analysts said Tuesday. (Source: AFP)
Security and medical officials say Egyptian border police have fatally shot a Nigerian man who was trying to cross illegally into Israel. The security official says the guards also shot three Sudanese men and one woman who were also trying to sneak into Israel on Tuesday. He spoke on condition of anonymity because he was not authorized to talk to the media. (Source: AP)
It was reported that by day, Awad al-Qiq was a respected science teacher and headmaster at an UNRWA school in Gaza. By night, Palestinian militants said, he built rockets for Islamic Jihad. An Israeli air strike killed Qiq, 33, last week. His family denied he had any militant links, despite a profusion of Islamic Jihad posters at his home. But militant leaders hailed him as a martyr who led Islamic Jihad's "engineering unit." ( Source: Reuters)
Israel and the Palestinian Authority are both unhappy over a request by U.S. Secretary of State Rice that they publish a memorandum of understanding on the progress of their final-status negotiations to date before President Bush arrives on a visit next week. "The work of drafting such a document will merely halt the progress and the momentum," argued one Israeli official. Both Israel and the PA would prefer to keep this progress under the media's radar for now. Israeli officials who met with Rice said their impression is that she is determined to produce an achievement at almost any price, given the political capital that both she and Bush have invested in the Palestinian issue over the last year. (Source: Ha'aretz)
An intoxicated Arab man from Kuwait who claimed he had a bomb briefly held three Jewish teenagers captive in their Polish hotel room on Monday. Police forces stormed the room at central Warsaw's Holiday Inn and released the captives unharmed. No explosives were found in the hotel, which was evacuated during the incident. (Source: Jerusalem Post)
The Gaza Health Ministry said one man was killed, five were wounded and one is still missing after a cross-border smuggling tunnel collapsed on Monday. (Source: AP/Ynet News)
Hizbullah now has about 27,000 rockets and missiles, more than double its supply before the 2006 war, Israeli officials say, including Iranian missiles capable of hitting Tel Aviv. Israeli officials say Hizbullah's most potent weapons include about 500 Iranian Zilzal guided missiles, with ranges of 77, 136 and 186 miles. In addition, Hizbullah has 4,000 to 6,000 Iranian Fajr 3 and Fajr 5 rockets with ranges of 27 and 46 miles, respectively. And Syria has provided an estimated 20,000 rockets. Hizbullah is stronger than before the war. They have improved their antitank capabilities, the number and quality of their rockets. Western security officials say they discovered last year that Iran was procuring telescopic sights for antitank guns and rocket-propelled grenades from an Eastern European country. Communications among Iranian diplomats revealed that the sights were earmarked for Hizbullah, say the officials. Iran also furnished night-vision equipment and binoculars. (Source: Los Angeles Times)
An Iranian envoy said Monday his government will not submit to extensive nuclear inspections while Israel stays outside the global treaty to curb the spread of atomic weapons. Nuclear safeguards are far from universal, he said, adding that more than 30 countries are still without a comprehensive safeguard agreement with the International Atomic Energy Agency to ensure full cooperation with that U.N. body. (Source: AP)
By Joseph B. Varner
So the Russians have elected Vladimir Putin's hand-picked successor, Dimitri Anatolyevich Medvedev, as President. Is anyone really surprised? Although there may not have been any voter fraud to speak of, there is little question that the process itself was rigged. The whole campaign was carefully staged to give Medvedev such an enormous advantage that his defeat was virtually impossible.
Putin himself would have remained President except that Russia's constitution prohibits him from holding that office for three consecutive terms. Instead, he has graciously offered to serve as Prime Minister to the new President and will run for that purpose in December's parliamentary elections as a member of the United Russia Party. Given that party's virtual lock on the Duma (Russia's Parliament) which elects the Prime Minister, there is no doubt whatsoever that he will succeed. Having secured control of the majority Party, the Duma, the security and defense ministries, and even the President himself, Putin will have succeeded in making himself Russia's newest strongman.
No-one should expect significant changes under in Russian policy under Dimitri Medvedev. He has been a close associate of Putin since he was a young man of 25 years.
Medvedev was educated as a lawyer and was an assistant professor in law at Leningrad (now St. Petersburg) State University from 1990 until 1999. From 1990-95 he served as a legal adviser to the mayor of St. Petersburg and was an advisor to Vladimir Putin's external affairs team on behalf of the city council.
In 1999, when Putin was selected to be then-President Boris Yeltsin's Prime Minister, Medvedev was named Deputy Chief of Staff to the Russian Cabinet. One month later, when Putin took over as acting President, replacing Yeltsin, he was appointed the President's Deputy Chief of Staff. He ran Putin's successful 2000 presidential election campaign. As a reward for both loyalty and victory he was appointed Putin's First Deputy Chief of Staff and was elevated to Chief of Staff in October 2003 and First Deputy Prime Minister soon thereafter.
In 2002 Medvedev was named chairman of the board of the natural gas monopoly Gazprom. Gazprom produces a reported 90 percent of Russian gas. It is responsible for 8 percent of Russia's GDP and 20 percent of the central government's revenue. Gazprom is also a major source of gas for the European market, accounting for an estimated 28 percent of that continent's supply in 2005.
As First Deputy Prime Minister, Medvedev led efforts to improve key sectors of Russias economy, including housing and health care. He oversaw a number of major initiatives in agriculture and education and helped restructure Putin's relations with Russia's powerful economic oligarchs who made fortunes in the Yeltsin years.
During the recently concluded presidential campaign Medvedev promised to diversify the economy. He promised to improve schools, build housing, encourage business and change the tax codes in ways to encourage household and social stability, including offering tax breaks for retirement savings, charitable donations and education and medical costs. He said that he favors a healthcare system that allows more choice, and challenged bureaucracy and corruption in the government. All of this is a clone of Putin's own domestic agenda.
On foreign and national security policy, Medvedev is also likely to continue to follow Putin's lead, and not just because he needs Putin's support to remain in office. In truthm Medvedev and Putin see eye-to-eye on all the issues. Medvedev will continue to renew the projection of Russian power around the globe. He will resist attempts by other Eastern European countries to join NATO and will strenously oppose the deployment of American missile defence components in Poland and the Czech Republic. He will also take steps to re-assert Russia's influence over the those states that formerly made up the Soviet Union. Most dangerous of all, he will continue Russia's recent policy of staging aggressive strategic bomber patrols and ballistic missile tests. He will maintain or increase an already inflated level of defence spending and will continue to modernize his country's military. Given his history with Gazprom, he can be expected to use energy as a strategic weapon. This will pose a significant challenge to those countries that have become so dependent on Gazprom to satisfy their energy needs.
All of this is to say that de facto power in Russia remains firmly in the hands of Vladamir Putin even if - for the time being at least - de jure power passes into the hands of one of his most trusted protégés.
And if all goes according to what appears to be the plan, that power will likely remain in Putin's hands for a long time to come.
Originally posted on IntelligenceDigest.ca March 5, 2008.
Joe Varner is a program director for Homeland Security at American Military University
By Joseph B. Varner
The great American theologian and anti-slavery activist James Freeman Clarke once quipped that a politician thinks of the next election; a statesman the next generation. If that is so, then on the international scene at least, Stephen Harper is quietly establishing his credentials as a statesman.
So far the Harper government’s management of its transatlantic relations has been solid. Since coming to office in January 2006, it has taken important steps to end and reverse the decline in Canada’s ability to meet its international defence obligations. It appears to be on the road to successfully persuading our allies to provide reinforcements for Canadian soldiers in Southern Afghanistan (Poland has already offered to supply a number of helicopters in support of the NATO mission and the US has, at least for the short term, begun the deployment of an additional 2600 Marines. Further contributions can be expected in time.) Meanwhile, by recognizing the independence of Kosovo, it has made a strong statement that we are committed to standing by our historic North Atlantic partners in the diplomatic arena as well.
All this positions Canada to play a significant, perhaps decisive, role in at this year’s NATO summit shaping some of the most difficult decisions the alliance has ever had to make.
Establishing a mechanism by which both the Ukraine and Georgia can join NATO is the most contentious political issue on the table at the summit. The Harper government, along with nine other countries including the US, reportedly favours such a move. Other countries, led by France and Germany, are saying ‘not right now’, citing Ukraine and Georgia’s ongoing internal divisions and, in Georgia’s case, external conflicts. For its part, Russia is warning that closer ties between NATO and Ukraine will result in a “deep crisis in Russian-Ukrainian relations”, a prospect not to be taken lightly.
Since NATO operates by consensus, strong opposition from one or more members could derail proposed membership for the two potential NATO member countries. Canada and its allies will therefore have to present their case for membership clearly and forcefully.
Objections raised by the French and Germans are not without merit and, taken on their own, would probably be sufficient to scuttle any plans. The problem is that there are other factors to be considered.
To begin with, backing down now, in response to threats, would only embolden Russian leaders, encouraging them to demand further concessions ‘or else’. Backing down would also confirm the dangerous perception that bullying the western allies works.
It must also be noted that it is the Russians themselves who have been behaving in a recklessly provocative fashion of late. Most of the trouble that is plaguing Ukraine and Georgia is actually being fomented by them in a clumsy attempt to exert control over the affairs of the two universally recognized independent states. Russia has even threatened to cut off oil and gas supplies to Ukraine if it continues courting NATO membership and has warned that it will begin pointing its considerable nuclear arsenal at them if they proceed, as well as at Poland – already a full member of NATO.
Russia has not confined its intrigue to its immediate geographical vicinity either. For the first time in many years the Russians have conducted military maneuvers in both the Atlantic and Mediterranean Sea. Russian naval and air forces recently test fired cruise missiles in the Bay of Biscay, their combat aircraft recently 'buzzed' a US aircraft carrier in international waters, and their strategic bomber command has resumed combat air patrols on a level not seen since the Cold war, testing NATO air defenses by staging mock air raids.
And let’s not forget Russia’s recent unilateral claim of sovereignty over much of the arctic, including areas of Canada’s north.
Russia seems not to care that behaviour like this is, in fact, a major reason why the Ukrainians and Georgians, along with other central and eastern European countries, want to be part of NATO – they are justifiably alarmed by the concurrent decline in democracy in Russia and its growing aggressiveness. They want nothing more than to preserve their new found freedom and they believe that joining the North Atlantic Treaty is the best means of achieving this goal.
The time has come for NATO to push back firmly, otherwise Russia, still controlled by Vladimir Putin, will tread all over central and eastern Europe and beyond, including the arctic. It is therefore in Canada’s interest to help make this happen.
Canada should certainly pressure its western NATO allies France and Germany to share in the heavy lifting in southern Afghanistan – hard. At the same time, however, the Harper government must not lose sight of the broader strategic issues at play in central and eastern Europe. A decision by France and Germany not to send troops to Kandahar would be disappointing, but it might open the door to a more assertive effort by Canada to get them to drop objections to establishing a framework for future Ukrainian and Georgian membership in NATO, especially in view of our support for their position on Kosovo in the face of vehement and not altogether unreasonable opposition.
For the first time in more than a generation, a Canadian Prime Minister can legitimately lay claim to the ‘moral high ground’ in relation to Canada’s European allies. Whether this was by design or by accident, let’s hope that the Harper government continues to practice the kind of prudent and responsible foreign policy that has got us here.
Originally published on IntelligenceDigest.ca April 2, 2008.
Joe Varner is Assistant Professor and Program Director for Homeland Security at American Military University
A daily, open source, around the world tour of international security-related news.
By Professor Joseph B. Varner
Global War on Terror
Three accidental explosions in the Afghan capital have left nine people dead and more than 20 wounded, including some counternarcotics police, officials said Monday. A policeman dropped a rocket-propelled grenade that exploded as his unit set off from Kabul on Monday on an opium poppy eradication mission north of the city. Three policemen were killed in the blast. At least eight others were wounded. Also Monday, four children died and one was wounded when an old artillery shell they were playing with exploded. Another police official, Sayed Ekramudin, said two civilians were killed and 13 others wounded in an explosion Sunday at a refuse dump in the city's northern outskirts. Ekramudin said a truck had hit a buried explosive. (Source: AP)
Islamic insurgents killed at least three Ethiopian soldiers during a gunfight in the Somali capital on Sunday. Mohamed Toshow said both sides exchanged fire after an attack on an Ethiopian water tanker in southern Mogadishu. Ethiopian troops supporting the shaky U.N.-backed transitional government come under daily attack by Islamic insurgents, who receive support from Ethiopia's archenemy Eritrea. In an unrelated incident, inter-clan fighting in western Somalia killed at least 12 people and wounded at least 15 others during a land dispute, residents said Sunday. (Source: AP)
A Shiite rebel leader in Yemen warned Sunday that his group will escalate its fight against the government if the army continues an offensive that has left almost 20 rebels and soldiers dead over the past two days. Six rebels and six soldiers were killed in clashes overnight Sunday in and around the mountainous rebel stronghold of Saada in northern Yemen, according to a security official and an eyewitness. A day earlier, three soldiers and four rebels were killed in similar clashes. Thousands have died in violence between the rebels and the government of this predominantly Sunni country since the rebellion erupted in 2004. On Friday, a bomb rigged to a motorcycle blew up amid a crowd of worshippers leaving a Shiite mosque in Saada, killing at least 18 people and wounding about four dozen, according to officials. Both sides blamed each other for the attack. Rebel leader Abdel Malak al-Hawthi said on Sunday that tribal chiefs have stepped in to mediate a new cease-fire, but warned that his group would escalate fighting "if the government insists on the option of war."
The Shiite fighters signed two cease-fire agreements with the government in June 2007 and January of this year, but sporadic violence continues. The rebels said the government is corrupt and too closely allied with the West. The government has charged al-Hawthi with sedition, forming an illegal armed group and inciting anti-American sentiment. Many officials in Sunni-led Saudi Arabia and in Yemen's government suspect Iran and Libya support al-Hawthi. Sunni governments in the region suspect Shiite Iran is trying to increase its influence by supporting Shiite groups like the militias in Iraq and Hizbullah in Lebanon. Al-Hawthi denies that his group, known as the Young Faithful, receives funds from Iran. Yemen is a key U.S. ally in the Middle East, but Al Qaeda loyalists are active in the country. (Source: AP)
Suspected Islamic militants clashed with police in Chechnya, killing two law enforcement officers, a regional official said Saturday. A group of about 25 suspected militants fought with government forces late Friday in Chechnya's southern district of Urus-Martan. One police officer and a soldier were killed, and one officer was wounded. At least four militants were wounded. ( Source: AP)
Iraq
The Turkish military says a raid in northern Iraq earlier this week killed more than 150 Kurdish rebels. The military said Saturday it successfully hit all its targets in a three-hour air operation on Mount Qandil. The raid ended early Friday. (Source: AP)
The U.S. military is reportedly drawing up plans for a “surgical strike” against an insurgent training camp inside Iran if Republican Guards continue with attempts to destabilize Iraq, western intelligence sources said last week. One source said the Americans were growing increasingly angry at the involvement of the Guards’ special-operations Quds force inside Iraq, training Shi’ite militias and smuggling weapons into the country. U.S. commanders are increasingly concerned by Iranian interference in Iraq and are determined that recent successes by joint Iraqi and US forces in the southern port city of Basra should not be reversed by the Quds Force. Although it was reported that U.S. military leaders are firmly opposed to any attack on Iranian nuclear facilities, they believe a raid on one of the camps training Shi’ite militiamen would deliver a powerful message to Tehran.
British officials reportedly believe the U.S. military tends to overestimate the effect of the Iranian involvement in Iraq. But they say there is little doubt that the Revolutionary Guard exercises significant influence over splinter groups of the radical cleric Moqtada al-Sadr’s Mahdi Army, who were the main targets of recent operations in Basra. The CBS television network reported last week that plans were being drawn up for an attack on Iran, citing an officer who blamed the “increasingly hostile role” Iran was playing in Iraq. The American news reports were unclear about the precise target of such an action and referred to Iran’s nuclear facilities as the likely objective. According to the intelligence sources there will not be an attack on Iran’s nuclear capacity. “The Pentagon is not keen on that at all. If an attack happens it will be on a training camp to send a clear message to Iran not to interfere.” President George W Bush is known to be determined that he should not hand over what he sees as “the Iran problem” to his successor. A limited attack on a training camp may give an impression of tough action, while at the same time being something that both Gates and the U.S. commander in Iraq, General David Petraeus, could accept. (Source: The Times-UK)
Iran said Monday it would not hold a new round of talks with the U.S. on security in Iraq until American forces end their current assault against Shiite militias. U.S. and Iraqi forces have been battling supporters of radical Shiite cleric Muqtada al-Sadr, and Iraq's government spokesman said Sunday that the crackdown would continue even if Iran pulled out of the talks. (Source: AP)
United States
In a brief news conference yesterday it was announced that the Peleliu Expeditionary Strike Group was being sent on a regular rotation. Led by the amphibious assault ship Peleliu, the convoy comprises the amphibious ships Pearl Harbor and Dubuque, the cruiser Cape St. George and the destroyers Halsey and Benfold. On board were Marines from the Camp Pendleton-based 15th Marine Expeditionary Unit, which took part in the 2001 invasion of Afghanistan, the 2003 invasion of Iraq, 2004 tsunami relief efforts in Indonesia and additional tours in Iraq from 2005 to 2007. The Marines were joined by aviators from Helicopter Sea Combat Squadron 21 and Helicopter Anti-submarine Squadron Light 45, both based at North Island Naval Air Station. Marine Medium Helicopter Squadron 166 at Miramar Marine Corps Air Station also went along. (Source: SignOnSanDiego.com)
The U.S. is reportedly drawing up plans to send 7,000 additional American troops to Afghanistan to combat a resurgent Taliban and Al Qaeda, at a time when NATO countries appear unwilling to contribute further forces. The increase is being considered by the Pentagon after President Bush returned from a NATO summit in Romania last month disappointed by few pledges of extra troops by his European allies. The plans, which have yet to be formalized or sent to the White House, would increase the number of US troops in Afghanistan to about 40,000, the largest American presence since the war began more than six years ago. Last week Robert Gates, the U.S. Defense Secretary, said that America may consider taking over NATO’s command in southern Afghanistan, where British, Canadian and Dutch forces are concentrated. (Source: The Times-UK)
Africa
Unknown assailants attacked an oil installation in restive southern Nigeria and some crude production has been lost, Royal Dutch Shell PLC officials said Saturday. Shell spokesman Precious Okolobo said the attackers hit a flow station belonging to Shell's joint venture in southern Nigeria late Friday and that some oil production had been shut down. He gave no further details. Flow stations are intersections for tubes carrying oil from wells to export terminals. The region's main militant group, the Movement for the Emancipation of the Niger Delta, did not immediately reply to an e-mail seeking comment or claims for the attack. (Source: AP)
Insurgents attacked an army convoy in northern Mali Saturday, violating a cease-fire and sparking a fire fight that left five people dead. It was the first major clash since the ethnic Tuareg rebels and the government signed a cease-fire a month ago. Libya had brokered that deal in an attempt to restore peace to a region that has been plagued by raids, kidnappings and clashes for more than a year. On Saturday morning, a group of armed men attacked an army supply vehicle outside of the town of Tessalit. He said four attackers and one soldier died in the fighting. He spoke on condition of anonymity because he was not authorized to talk to the press. (Source: AP)
Rebels in Ivory Coast have begun to disarm, a crucial step toward long-awaited presidential elections that many hope will secure an end to years of war, officials said Sunday. About 1,000 rebels have arrived since Friday at a demobilization center in the northern city of Bouake, a former rebel stronghold. In all, about 43,000 rebels are expected to lay down their arms over a five-month period at six demobilization sites in the north and west. Some 26,000 will be reintegrated into civilian life, and the remainder will be integrated into the national army. In a statement, Prime Minister Guillaume Soro, the former rebel leader, congratulated his fighters for starting the process, sending a "strong signal" that the peace accord signed in Burkina Faso last year is being implemented.
Defense Minister Michel Amani Nguessan called the move "irreversible," and said it "should represent an end to the mistrust ... we've seen since the start of this crisis." Rebels took up arms in 2002, seizing the northern half of the country. Though the nation was officially reunited last year after the Burkina Faso accord, former rebel soldiers have retained de facto control of the northern half of the world's leading cocoa producer. (Source: AP)
Troops opened fire and killed at least two people as tens of thousands of people rioted over high food prices in Somalia's capital Monday. Several people also were injured in the protest in Mogadishu in this Horn of Africa nation. (Source: AP)
Americas
Records obtained by The Canadian Press show that Russian bombers are again regular visitors along Canadian and U.S. Arctic airspace. One military analyst says it's all part of the Russian effort to re-establish itself on the world stage, especially in the Arctic. Rob Huebert of the Centre for Military and Strategic Studies at the University of Calgary said: “The Russians are just telling all the Arctic nations, 'We're back.' ”
Since Russian President Vladimir Putin announced last August that Russia would resume its long-range air patrols, about two Tu-95 bombers a month have been flying into the buffer zone just outside Canadian and U.S. airspace in the Arctic. Documents show that Canadian CF-18 Hornets have flown five such Bear intercept missions, one in 2006 and two each in September and November last year. American jets have flown another 12 such missions in the Arctic. (Source: Globe and Mail-CAN)
Bolivia's largest state voted Sunday on a sweeping autonomy referendum that leaders said would forge "a new Bolivia," defying leftist President Evo Morales who called the vote unconstitutional. Minor clashes across Santa Cruz state injured at least 25 people during the politically charged vote, which sought to separate the state's freewheeling capitalism and mixed-blood heritage from Morales' vision of a communal state ruled by indigenous Andean values. Relatives of a 70-year-old man said he was killed when police fired tear gas to break up one scuffle between pro- and anti-autonomy factions. The information could not be confirmed with authorities. Pre-election polls showed the referendum drawing as much as 70 percent support, though they were conducted by local news media sympathetic to the cause. (Source: AP)
Asia
China on Sunday raised the death toll to 24 following the outbreak of a virus in another province a day after the Health Ministry ordered heightened efforts to stem the spread of infectious diseases. Official Xinhua News Agency said an 18-month old boy who died in Foshan city in Guangdong Friday had died from enterovirus, known as EV-71. Another child who died in the district on April 25 also tested positive, it said. The deaths follow the 22 that have already died in central Anhui province, 1,000 miles to the north. Prompting the government to act was an unusual jump in cases of the enterovirus, known as EV-71, in Fuyang, a fast-growing city set in the rural heartland of central China. As of early Saturday, 3,736 cases of EV-71 were reported in Fuyang's mainly rural outskirts, a rise of 415 in about 24 hours, health officials said. Besides the 22 deaths, 1,115 people remain hospitalized, 42 of them in serious or critical condition, said the health department of Anhui Province, where Fuyang is located. (Source: AP)
Communist rebels ambushed an army convoy in the southern Philippines with land mines and machine-gun fire Monday, killing three soldiers and wounding 13. Two army trucks carrying troops back to barracks from a combat operation hit several land mines along a highway in President Roxas town in North Cotabato province. About 20 New People's Army rebels then opened fire on the soldiers from the side of the road, killing three and wounding at least 13. (Source: AP)
Indonesia extradited four rebel soldiers suspected in the attempted assassinations of East Timor's President and Prime Minister, the police chief said Monday. The East Timorese men, who were detained after illegally crossing the border last month, were flown to the capital, Dili, where they will face trial in the February 11 shootings. (Source: AP)
Local reports in Myanmar say a cyclone killed more than 350 people and ripped apart thousands of homes, but tensions between the country and the West may make its military government reluctant to ask for international aid. Five states within Myanmar, also known as Burma, have been declared disaster areas, reported Myaddy television, which is operated by the military. Those are Yangon, Irrawaddy, Bago, Karen and Mon states. (Source: CTV.ca)
Heavy weekend fighting between government troops and Tamil separatists in Sri Lanka's war-ravaged northern region left 35 rebels and eight soldiers dead, the military said Sunday. The latest battles erupted Saturday along the front lines in the Mannar and Welioya regions. In the worst fighting, soldiers killed 13 Tamil rebels in Janakapura in Welioya. Four soldiers were killed and six soldiers and 26 rebels were wounded. Sporadic fighting in the northern Mannar district killed 18 rebels and one soldier, the official said, adding that six soldiers and six rebels were wounded in that fighting. Separate fighting in Welioya left four rebels and three soldiers dead. (Source: AP)
Europe
Forces from Georgia's breakaway region of Abkhazia shot down two unmanned Georgian spy planes over the territory on Sunday. Georgia denied the claim and traded accusations with Russia, which is struggling with the West for influence in the country strategically located on the Caspian Sea. Each says the incident indicates the other is preparing for war over the breakaway region. Strained relations between Georgia and Russia, which has close ties with Abkhazia, have worsened since Georgia accused Moscow of shooting down a pilotless Georgian reconnaissance plane over the breakaway region two weeks ago. Russia denied involvement and separatist Abkhazian officials said their forces shot it down. (Source: AP)
Georgia has deployed nearly 7,500 troops on its border with breakaway region Abkhazia. Abkhazia Defense Minister DeMerab Kishmaria said should a military operation begin, about 3,000 troops will be used to seize the Kodori Gorge, which in the northeast of Abkhazia, RIA Novosti reported Sunday. Abkhaz armed forces, he added, had also been put on combat alert and that there would be enough forces and military equipment to repulse any "Georgian aggression." The Russian news service reported that a Russian federal security source said Saturday that Georgia, "with the participation of foreign experts," had prepared a plan for "armed action" against Abkhazia. (Source: UPI)
Middle East
Jerusalem must be taken off the negotiating table, Israeli Transportation Minister and former Defense Minister Shaul Mofaz said Friday. Speaking to leaders of U.S. Jewish organizations in New York, Mofaz said that reaching a final status agreement with the Palestinians by the end of the year would force Israel to give up on its very foundations and "sell" its national assets. He said Israel should try and reach a gradual interim deal with the Palestinians, since it was uncertain if the PA leadership could fulfill its agreements. He stressed that Israel must ensure it has defensible borders that can withstand every remaining test. (Source: Jerusalem Post)
Israeli Prime Minister Olmert met visiting U.S. Secretary of State Rice on Saturday evening after she arrived for a 36-hour visit. He is expected to hold a meeting with Mahmoud Abbas on Monday. A senior PA official in Ramallah said that in the wake of Abbas' recent talks in Washington with President Bush and Rice, it was "unrealistic" to expect a breakthrough between the Palestinians and Israelis before the end of the year. (Source: Jerusalem Post)
On Sunday, four Israelis were treated for shock when three Kassam rockets fired by Palestinians in Gaza struck the city of Sderot. One rocket hit a cemetery, causing damage. The second destroyed the roof of a shop in the city's commercial district and the third damaged a residential building. ( Source: Ha'aretz)
Iraqi government spokesman, Ali al-Dabbagh, said on Sunday that Iraq has "concrete evidence" Iran is fomenting violence in the country and that a high-level panel had been formed to document the proof. (Source: Washington Post)
Lebanese Communications Minister Marwan Hamada told the London-based Asharq Alawsat Sunday that the Iranian organization aiding Hizbullah in restoring its infrastructure after the war is also building a communications network with separate landlines that span most of Lebanon and would enable Hizbullah to listen to any entity within Lebanon. (Source: Ynet News)
Six world powers agreed Friday to offer Iran a new mix of incentives to curtail its nuclear program, updating an offer made to Iran in June 2006, British Foreign Secretary David Miliband announced in London. The centerpiece of the new offer is international assistance for a civilian nuclear program. After meeting with Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice and top foreign policy figures from Russia, China, France and Germany to discuss Iran's disputed program, Miliband said the group "reviewed and updated" an offer made to Iran in June 2006. (Source: Washington Post)
Thousands of Kuwaitis have demonstrated against a government crackdown on illegal tribal primaries, with some of them throwing stones at a security building before storming it, the Interior Ministry said Sunday. The confrontation Saturday evening was the third between authorities and tribesman over the banned parliamentary primaries since Kuwait's leader dissolved the legislature in March and ordered early elections on May 17. No injuries have been reported from any of the protests. The crowd of several thousand gathered in front of a security building south of Kuwait City on Saturday, demanding the release of members of the Mutair tribe arrested for carrying out the primaries, the Interior Ministry said in a statement. (Source: AP)
Joe Varner is Assistant Professor and Program Manager for Homeland Security at American Military University
A daily, open source, around the world tour of international security-related news.
By Professor Joseph B. Varner
Global War on Terror
The U.S. State Department congressionally-mandated “Country Reports on Terrorism” said Al Qaeda enjoyed its safe haven in Pakistan and rebuilt its capabilities since the U.S.-led invasion of Afghanistan. The report said Al Qaeda attacks rose sharply in 2007 due to restored capabilities despite the loss of major commanders. The report also cited a revived network in Afghanistan and Pakistan. But the report said Pakistan has also been the main victim of Al Qaeda's resurgence. The State Department recorded a doubling of Al Qaeda strikes in Pakistan from 2006 and 2007. The attacks were also deemed more lethal as the number of fatalities quadrupled last year. At the same time, Al Qaeda appears to have lost its steam in Iraq. The report said Al Qaeda strikes, mostly suicide bombings, in Iraq dropped slightly between 2006 and 2007. The State Department concluded that Al Zawahiri has become Al Qaeda's "strategic and operational planner." Al Zawahiri, an Egyptian national, has been regarded as No. 2 in Al Qaeda. (Source: World Tribune)
Muslim rebels have forced hundreds of mainly Christian families off their farms in the southern Philippines, escalating tensions in the region ahead of the withdrawal of Malaysian peace monitors next week. Rolando Garcia, mayor of Kalamansig town on the troubled southern island of Mindanao, said on Friday that heavily-armed members of the Moro Islamic Liberation Front (MILF) claimed the farmers' land belonged to the Muslim minority. The 11,000-strong MILF is meant to be observing a ceasefire and a spokesman for the rebel group said he was unaware of any land seizures. ( Source: AFP)
An explosion at a mosque in north Yemen has caused many casualties. Dozens of people were killed or wounded in the blast, news agency AFP reported, citing witnesses. A security source told Reuters the blast took place as worshippers were leaving the mosque in the Saada region, the site of a Shia rebellion. The cause of the blast was not immediately known.
( Source: BBC)
U.S. missiles destroyed the house of the man identified by the U.S. military as the top Al Qaeda commander in Somalia, killing him and 10 others Thursday in a pre-dawn attack that analysts warned could torpedo peace talks. The killing of Aden Hashi Ayro comes amid escalating fighting and a spiraling humanitarian crisis in the Horn of Africa nation. Islamic fighters have staged a series of attacks on towns in the months leading up to the U.N.-sponsored talks, scheduled to start May 10. The insurgents typically hold the towns for a few hours, free people from jails, then withdraw with captured weapons. Somali government officials have said Ayro, who was believed to be in his 30s, trained in Afghanistan before the September 11, 2001, terrorist attacks on the United States and headed Al Qaeda's cell in Somalia. (Source: AP)
Moroccan police have arrested one of nine convicts who escaped from prison in April and were linked to deadly 2003 terrorist attacks in Casablanca. Police arrested Mohamed Chetbi and two men who helped him to hide out. It did not say where the arrests occurred or provide other information. Chetbi and eight others tunneled to freedom in the town of Kinitra, about 30 miles northeast of the capital, Rabat. The disappearances were discovered April 7, the Justice Ministry said at the time. Chetbi had been sentenced to 20 years in prison for his role in a series of nearly simultaneous suicide bombings in downtown Casablanca in 2003 that killed 45 people, including the 12 bombers. Chetbi's exact role was not clear. ( Source: AP)
A Kuwaiti man released from the U.S. prison in Guantanamo Bay in 2005 has carried out a suicide bombing in Iraq, his cousin told Al Arabiya television yesterday. A friend of Abdullah Saleh al-Ajmi in Iraq informed his family that Abdullah carried out the attack in Mosul, his cousin Salem said. He did not say when the suicide bombing happened. Abdullah, 30, had been missing for two weeks and his family learned he left Kuwait illegally for Syria, he said. Abdullah had sent messages to his wife from Iraq. ( Source: Washington Times)
One of Osama bin Laden's sons has been denied British residency because London authorities think his presence in the country would cause "considerable public concern," the man's wife said yesterday. Omar Osama bin Laden, a 27-year-old metals trader, had hoped to live in Britain with his British-born wife. The couple lives in Cairo but she is eager to return to her country, where she has a home. But his wife, Zaina Alsabah, said Omar's residency application was rejected. Omar has not renounced his father, but says he wants to be an "ambassador for peace" between Muslims and the West. ( Source: Washington Times)
Many theories are circulating inside U.S. intelligence agencies on who killed notorious Hizbullah terrorist Imad Mughniyah, who was blown up in a car bomb attack in Damascus February 12. One theory popular in the Middle East is that the hit was an Israeli intelligence operation. An Israeli hit is considered possible but unlikely since even though Israel's Mossad has a long arm, the bombing took place in the Syrian capital, considered a very difficult intelligence operating area. A prime suspect is Syria itself, specifically Syrian intelligence agents who would have known Mughniyah's personal security measures and travel. Syria's government is investigating the killing and recent reports from the region state Damascus is blaming Saudi Arabian agents for the killing, a charge Riyadh has denied. Iran also is suspected. Despite its decades-long backing of Mughniyah, Tehran, this theory goes, was not happy with Mughniyah and wanted him out of the way. Even Hizbullah is a suspect, based on stories of growing factionalism inside the Iranian-backed Lebanese terror group. Still another theory is that the killing was the work of Lebanon's security service, in retaliation for the terrorist killings of Lebanese officials. Asked who killed Mughniyah, Mark Kimmitt, Deputy Assistant Defense Secretary for the Middle East, said in a brief interview recently that he knows at least 15 theories on the death of Mugniyah, who has been blamed for killing more Americans than any other terrorist, not counting Al Qaeda. "And all 15 could be wrong," said Mr. Kimmitt, a retired Army one-star general, adding: "Whoever did it, the world is a better place without him." ( Source: Washington Times)
Iraq
The U.S. military on Friday blamed Al Qaeda in Iraq for a double suicide bombing that killed at least 35 people during a wedding procession through a crowd of people cheering the bride and groom in a town northeast of Baghdad. The attack Thursday evening came amid heightened worries that Al Qaeda militants are regrouping, despite recent security gains by U.S.-led forces. The terror network announced April 19 that it was launching a one-month offensive against U.S. troops and U.S.-allied Sunnis. Thursday's blasts occurred in Balad Ruz, a predominantly Shiite Muslim town 45 miles northeast of Baghdad. An Iraqi female suicide bomber imitating pregnancy detonated the first bomb, the military said. A male bomber also blew himself up. The woman bomber blew herself up as people were dancing and clapping while members of the passing wedding party played music. The male bomber attacked minutes later as police and ambulances arrived at the scene. The two explosions tore through the stalls and stores that lined the area. At least 35 people were killed and 65 were wounded, including the bride and groom. Diyala has been a flashpoint in the battle against Al Qaeda in Iraq, which the U.S. military says has been increasingly using women as suicide bombers. Explosive belts are easier to conceal under female clothing and women are often not treated with the same suspicion as men. Two suicide bombings staged by women last week in Diyala killed a dozen people. ( Source: AP)
United States
The nation's top military officer warned yesterday that the transition to a new American president will mark a "time of vulnerability" as the United States fights two wars, and he said military leaders are already actively preparing for the changing of the guard. The Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, Navy Admiral Michael G. Mullen, said the U.S. political transition will be "extraordinarily challenging," particularly as the military is engaged in Iraq and Afghanistan and faces interference in both countries from Iran.
Mullen spoke on a day when Pentagon officials announced that a second U.S. aircraft carrier group, the USS Lincoln, had arrived in the Persian Gulf for a brief overlap with another carrier. ( Source: Washington Post)
With energy prices soaring and the federal deficit approaching $400 billion, senators from both parties moved yesterday to force Iraq to shoulder more financial responsibility for its reconstruction and self-defense. Under the plan, Iraq also would have to pay to train and equip its security forces and provide the salaries of Sunni-dominated "Sons of Iraq" security groups. In addition, the administration would have to negotiate cost-sharing agreements for U.S.-Iraqi joint military operations, with an eye toward Iraq picking up the tab for items such as fuel. (Source: Washington Post)
Applicants for government security clearances will no longer have to declare whether they sought mental health counseling after serving in combat zones, Defense Secretary Robert M. Gates announced yesterday. The policy change is part of a broader Pentagon effort to reduce the stigma that military service members and civilian defense workers face in seeking care for post-traumatic stress disorder and other psychological wounds of war. ( Source: Washington Post)
Africa
Gunmen opened fire on a convoy Thursday in eastern Chad near the Sudanese border, killing a French aid worker. The U.N. said the attack was the second targeting of a humanitarian worker in Chad in less than a year. Gunmen shot and killed a driver working for the U.N. High Commissioner for Refugees in late 2007, and in March, a French peacekeeper working with a European force in eastern Chad was shot to death by Sudanese soldiers when his vehicle strayed across the badly marked border. Eastern Chad has become a zone of uprooted refugees from Sudan's Darfur region spilling across the border. Displaced Chadians, humanitarian groups and EU peacekeepers work in the tense area, and Sudan has been hostile to the peacekeeping mission, which has not yet fully deployed. France has found itself deeply engaged this year in Chad, its former colony. Besides contributing to the EUFOR peacekeeping mission, French soldiers were deployed during a brief but tense effort by Chadian rebels to seize the presidential palace.
A failed bid by a French aid group, Zoe's Ark, to bring 103 children, allegedly orphans from Darfur, to France ended in scandal and recrimination that translated into distrust among many Chadians for all aid groups. (Source: AP)
Zimbabwe's opposition on Friday disputed results of a March 29 presidential election released by electoral officials, saying opposition leader Morgan Tsvangirai had the outright majority needed to avoid a run-off. Official data seen by Reuters showed Tsvangirai had 47.9 percent of the vote, beating President Robert Mugabe with 43.2 percent, but not enough to escape a second round contest with the veteran leader, who has led Zimbabwe since 1980. The opposition Movement for Democratic Change says Tsvangirai got 50.3 percent of the vote. ( Source: Reuters)
The U.N. Security Council has extended its Western Sahara mission, charged with monitoring the cease-fire between Morocco and independence-seeking rebels. The U.N. Security Council unanimously approved the one-year extension, calling on parties to engage in a "more intensive and substantive phase of negotiations" to resolve the dispute, the council said in a news release issued from New York. The mission also is charged with organizing a referendum on self-determination. Morocco maintains that its sovereignty over Western Sahara should be recognized, but the Frente Polisario, said a referendum including independence as an option should decide the territory's status. The Frente Polisario is a rebel movement working for the independence of Western Sahara from Morocco. In a report on the matter, U.N. Secretary-General Ban Ki-moon wrote the commitment of the two parties to negotiate was welcomed, but a breakthrough hasn't happened yet. ( Source: UPI)
Americas
President Evo Morales celebrated May Day by announcing the nationalization of Bolivia's leading telecommunications company, Entel, and returning four foreign-owned natural gas companies to state control. ( Source: AP)
Asia
North Korea has agreed to blow up the cooling tower attached to its Yongbyon nuclear facility within 24 hours of being removed from the U.S. list of state sponsors of terrorism, diplomats said this week. The destruction of the cooling tower is intended by U.S. officials to be a striking visual, broadcast around the globe that would offer tangible evidence that North Korea was retreating from its nuclear ambitions. Wisps of vapor from the cooling tower appear in most satellite photographs of Yongbyon, making it the facility's most recognizable feature, though experts say its destruction would be mostly symbolic. North Korean officials had privately indicated previously they would destroy the tower as part of the disablement of Yongbyon. During talks last week with a top U.S. State Department official, Sung Kim, North Korea reaffirmed it would act quickly after Pyongyang is removed from the terrorism list. ( Source: Washington Post)
China has secretly built a major underground nuclear submarine base that could threaten Asian countries and challenge American power in the region. Satellite imagery shows that a substantial harbor has been built which could house a score of nuclear ballistic missile submarines and a host of aircraft carriers. Of even greater concern to the Pentagon are massive tunnel entrances, estimated to be 60feet high, built into hillsides around the base. Sources fear they could lead to caverns capable of hiding up to 20 nuclear submarines from spy satellites. The US Department of Defence has estimated that China will have five 094 nuclear submarines operational by 2010 with each capable of carrying 12, 8000 kilometer range, JL-2 submarine launched ballistic missiles. Within the next five to 10 years the Peoples Liberation Navy is expected to build up to six carriers. The location of the base off Hainan will also give the submarines access to very deep water exceeding 5,000 meters within a few miles, making them even harder to detect. This will also allow them to move into their fire stations with greater ease and speed than their previous bases. ( Source: Daily Telegraph)
Michael Pillsbury, a Pentagon consultant on China, said recently that the U.S. strategy of "hedging" against an emerging military threat from Beijing by building up U.S. forces in the Pacific likely will continue whoever is elected president in November. Pillsbury made the comments during a panel discussion at a Jane's U.S. Defense Conference and noted that a key part of the strategy is the U.S. buildup of forces on Guam. ( Source: Washington Times)
The American ambassador to Nepal has met for the first time with the leader of the country's former communist rebels, which Washington still officially considers terrorists, the U.S. Embassy said Friday. ( Source: AFP)
Indian intelligence and security agencies are worried over the efforts of Maoist rebels to set up bases in the already restive northeast, which has now overtaken Jammu and Kashmir in militancy-related violence. Security experts are analyzing the possible ramifications of the move. Following inputs from the Intelligence Bureau, the Interior Ministry sounded a red alert to the region's seven states directing them to put their police and central paramilitary forces on high alert, said a top IB official, who declined to be named. The official said agencies are worried because the presence of Maoist rebels would further complicate the situation in the region, already under the grip of a severe armed conflict. Intelligence inputs sent to the federal Interior Ministry suggest Maoist rebels have supported the issue of scheduled tribe status in Assam that would grant the state's residents greater access to educational and employment opportunities. Assam's tribal communities have demanded the status. Intelligence inputs suggest Maoists have targeted two comparatively weak separatist outfits, the All Adivasi (tribal) National Liberation Army and Adivasi Viper Militant Force. The inputs say Maoists have already established contacts with these two organizations, which are active in the districts of Assam bordering Bhutan. These two groups have launched a massive recruitment drive in various parts of Assam and other northeastern states. ( Source: UPI)
Europe
U.S. State Department officials have not asked the Belarus missions in Washington and New York to close, a State Department spokesman said Thursday. The Belarusian Foreign Ministry Wednesday told U.S. diplomats they were declared persona non grata and asked to leave Minsk within 72 hours. The expulsion came after the United States imposed sanctions because of the authoritarian rule of President Alexander Lukashenko. ( Source: AP)
Middle East
Palestinian President Mahmoud Abbas underwent heart tests in a Jordanian hospital yesterday, a spokesman said, describing his condition as good. "President Abbas has had some tests carried out in a hospital in Amman, including cardiac catheterization," spokesman Nabil Abu Rdainah said. "He will be back in (the West Bank city of) Ramallah tomorrow," Abu Rdainah said. (Source: Turkish Daily News)
Islamic Jihad said on Thursday it would not formally sign onto an Egyptian-brokered truce with Israel but would not be the first to violate it. Egypt is expecting Israel to accept and implement the cease-fire proposal agreed on by the Palestinian factions, Egyptian Foreign Minister Ahmed Aboul Gheit's bureau chief said Wednesday. But a number of factions were equivocal in their support for a ceasefire, and some said they reserved the right to retaliate against Israeli attacks. In a new statement, Zeyad al-Nakhala, deputy to exiled Islamic Jihad chief Ramadan Shallah, said the group could not be a party to a truce agreement that did not also apply at the onset to the occupied West Bank. Meanwhile, Egyptian intelligence chief Omar Suleiman is expected to arrive in Israel shortly to receive Israel's official response to the Egyptian cease-fire proposal. ( Source: Ha’aretz)
Israeli forces have killed two Palestinians in the Gaza Strip, including a Hamas militant who Israel says was involved in the capture of an Israeli soldier in 2006. An Israeli airstrike killed the militant Nafez Manzur Thursday in the town of Rafah in southern Gaza. The Israeli military says Manzur was involved in a 2006 raid on an Israeli border post near Gaza in which militants captured Israeli soldier Gilad Shalit and killed two others. Shalit remains in captivity. The other casualty in Thursday's violence, an elderly civilian, was shot and killed near the southern town of Khan Younis. The Israeli army confirmed its forces were operating in the area, but gave few other details. ( Source: VOICE OF AMERICA)
Palestinian medical officials on Thursday said a 62-year-old civilian was killed and three militants wounded by Israel Defense Forces fire, during fighting in Gaza. The Israeli Defense Forces had no immediate comment. ( Source: Ha’aretz)
The Middle East Quartet called on Israel to halt the building of settlements, U.N. Secretary-General Ban Ki-Moon said after a meeting of the so-called Quartet of Middle East peace mediators. The Quartet “called on Israel to freeze all settlement activities,” he said after the meeting in London. The Quartet comprises the U.S., Russia, the European Union and the United Nations. Palestinian Authority President Mahmoud Abbas is negotiating with Israeli Prime Minister Ehud Olmert for an agreement that would lead to the creation of a Palestinian state. ( Source: Bloomberg)
The head of the Arab League is urging Lebanese lawmakers to quickly elect a new president. Arab League Secretary-General Amr Moussa says such a step would meet the Syrian-backed opposition's demand for the formation of a national unity government.
Moussa spoke at an Arab economic forum Friday in Beirut, a day after holding talks with top leaders from the Western-backed parliamentary majority and the opposition led by the militant Hizbullah group. ( Source: AP)
U.S. Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice raised fresh doubts Thursday about the nature of Iran's nuclear program, saying if the clerical state really wanted only an avenue to peaceful atomic energy it could quickly have it. Instead, Iran is stonewalling on an attractive deal to trade away only the part of the program that could result in a nuclear weapon, Rice said ahead of a gathering of the U.N. nations that have presented a carrot-or-stick package to Iran. ( Source: AP)
It was reported in the internet press that the U.S. military has drafted and won approval for attack plans in response to an Iran attack. Western diplomatic sources said the U.S. military's Central Command has submitted plans for an air and naval strike on Iran. The sources said the plan envisioned escalating tensions that would peak with an Iranian-inspired insurgency strike against U.S. military assets in the Gulf. Meanwhile, on April 29, a second American aircraft carrier, USS Abraham Lincoln, steamed into the Gulf in what officials termed a show of force. They said the U.S. Navy plans to withdraw a carrier group, USS Harry S. Truman, from the region. Officials said the Defense Department has sought an update for plans to attack Iran amid what they term its "increasingly hostile role" against the United States. The officials cited the weapons flow to insurgency groups in Iraq as well as confrontations with U.S. ships in the Gulf. Under the plan approved by the Defense Department, Central Command would be allowed to retaliate for an Iranian attack with U.S. air strikes.
The sources said the plan contained a series of options that range from a limited to full-scale attack. The most comprehensive retaliation would target all Iranian military assets in the Gulf. The sources said the aim of Central Command was to prevent any Iranian attempt to block the Straits of Hormuz, the passage of 40 percent of global oil. In the second stage, the U.S. Navy and Air Force would strike missile centers and command and control facilities deep in Iran. Much of the strikes would be conducted from the two U.S. Navy carrier strike groups in the Gulf. If the second stage of the plan is implemented, the sources said, the U.S. military would also target Iran's nuclear weapons program. The sources said all major facilities, including Arak, Bushehr and Isfahan, would be destroyed. The sources said the Pentagon has not approved a CENTCOM option to initiate a U.S. strike on Iran's nuclear program. They said that at this point the Pentagon was concern with protecting the huge U.S. Navy presence in the Gulf. The U.S. Military has dismissed reports that it is preparing for a strike on Iran.
(Source: World Tribune)
Joe Varner is Assistant Professor and Program Manager for Homeland Security at American Military University
A daily, open source, around the world tour of international security-related news.
By Professor Joseph B. Varner
Global War on Terror
The U.S. State Department said on Wednesday that Al Qaeda and its associated networks were the greatest terrorist threat to the United States and its partners in 2007. The department's congressionally mandated Country Reports on Terrorism indicated Al Qaeda "reconstituted some of its pre-September 11, 2001, operational capabilities" in tribal areas of Pakistan. The network uses terrorism, subversion, propaganda and open warfare, the report said, and also "seeks weapons of mass destruction in order to inflict the maximum possible damage on anyone who stands in its way." While Al Qaeda has been weakened since the 2001 terrorist attacks on the United States, its leaders "continued to plot and to cultivate stronger operational connections" in the Middle East, North Africa and Europe. The report said Afghanistan remained threatened by the Taliban, other insurgent groups and criminal gangs, some of which were linked to Al Qaeda and terrorist sponsors outside the country. State sponsorship of terrorism "continued to undermine efforts to eliminate terrorism," and the report said, "Iran remained the most significant state sponsor of terrorism." The report also noted "significant achievements" against terrorist leadership targets, noting the capture or killing of key terrorist leaders in Pakistan, Ethiopia, Iraq and the Philippines. (Source: UPI)
Pentagon officials are quietly considering a significant change in the war command in Afghanistan to extend U.S. control of forces into the country’s volatile south. The idea is partly linked to an expectation of a fresh infusion of U.S. combat troops in the south next year. Taliban resistance has stiffened in the south since NATO took command there in mid-2006, and some in the U.S. administration believe the fight against the Taliban could be strengthened if the United States, whose span of control is limited to eastern Afghanistan, were also in charge in part or all of the south. Among the NATO nations fighting in the south are Canada, Britain, the Netherlands and Denmark. Canada’s contingent of up to 2,500 troops operates mainly in Kandahar province. A Canadian general is commander of the southern region now and he is scheduled to be replaced by a Dutch general later this year, part of a rotational pattern that some senior Pentagon officials believe gives the commander and his staff too little time on the ground to be fully effective. The internal Pentagon discussions about expanding the U.S. command role were described in recent Associated Press interviews with several senior defence officials who have direct knowledge but were not authorized to talk about it publicly.
All said they thought it unlikely that a decision would be made any time soon. (Source: Chronicle Herald-CAN)
Roadside bombs struck a NATO patrol and two civilian vehicles in Afghanistan, killing nine people and wounding 10, officials said Thursday. A blast targeting a NATO patrol south of Kabul killed an alliance soldier and wounded four others Wednesday, the military alliance said in a statement. NATO did not identify the nationalities of the troops attacked in Logar province. Militants often target Afghan and foreign troops with roadside bombs. In the southern Kandahar province, roadside bombs hit two civilian cars Wednesday on a road frequently used by foreign and Afghan troops, killing eight civilians and wounding six others. (Source: AP)
The Taliban reportedly has regained control of Pakistan's Darra Adamkhel region and resumed its activities despite the presence of security forces. The region is in the North-West Frontier province near the border with Afghanistan, where violence has escalated with the regrouping of the Taliban. The Taliban retook the region after an impasse in the talks between provincial government officials and tribal elders to guarantee safety of the Indus Highway. The development comes despite the new Pakistani coalition government's policy to end violence in its tribal areas by engaging the militants.
The Taliban Monday captured a military pick-up carrying two army engineering corps employees in the region. The abductees were later released but the militants kept the vehicle. The government had been asking the Sheraki tribe under the collective responsibility clause of the Frontier Crimes Regulations law to hand over the militants. (Source: UPI)
A top Al Qaeda-linked militant long hunted by U.S. and Filipino troops was wounded during a military attack on a rebel encampment in the southern Philippines, a military spokesman said Thursday. Philippine troops bombarded the Abu Sayyaf camp with artillery and mortar fire near Jolo Island's Indanan township on Wednesday, killing at least one militant and wounding rebel commander Isnilon Hapilon in the hand. At least one Filipino soldier was wounded in ensuing clashes. Washington has offered a $5 million reward for Hapilon, who has been accused of involvement in the abduction of 17 Filipinos and three Americans in May 2001. There were reports that Hapilon's son, an Abu Sayyaf member identified as Tabari, may have been killed, but the military has not been able to confirm that fact. (Source: AP)
The weekend plot to kill Afghan President Hamid Karzai was masterminded by militants with links to Al Qaeda members who reside in Pakistan's lawless tribal areas, an Afghan intelligence official said Thursday. Saeed Ansari, a spokesman for the Afghan intelligence service, said that one of those killed during a raid on a militant hideout in Kabul on Wednesday was also linked to a deadly suicide attack on the city's luxurious Serena Hotel in January. Ansart identified him as Humayun. After the Serena attack, in which eight people died, intelligence officials said Humayun had links to a network led by a militant leader Siraj Haqqani. Haqqani's network is believed to have links with Al Qaeda members who operate from Pakistan's tribal areas, where Afghan officials say Haqqani is also based. The U.S. military has a $200,000 bounty out on him. Intelligence chief, Amrullah Saleh, has said those killed in the raid Wednesday and three other gunmen who tried to assassinate Karzai on Sunday, were in contact with militants inside Pakistan's tribal regions. The Taliban has claimed responsibility for the attempt on Karzai's life during a military parade on Sunday. Karzai survived unharmed, but three people, including a lawmaker, were killed. Three assailants also died. Sunday's assault was at least the fourth attempt to assassinate Karzai since he came to power six years ago.
( Source: AP)
The man believed to be the head of Al Qaeda in Somalia was killed in an overnight airstrike along with 10 other people, an Islamic insurgent group said Thursday. The spokesman for the Islamic al-Shabab militia, Sheik Muqtar Robow, said the strike killed Aden Hashi Ayro, his brother, another commander and six others at his house in the central Somali town of Dusamareeb, about 300 miles north of Mogadishu. Six more people were wounded, two of whom later died. It was not immediately clear who was behind the airstrike. Over the past year, the U.S. military has attacked several suspected extremists in Somalia, most recently in March when the U.S. Navy fired at least one missile into a southern Somali town. Somali government officials have said Ayro trained in Afghanistan before the September 11, 2001, terror attacks and is the head of Al Qaeda's cell in Somalia. Sheik Muhidin Mohamud Omar, who Robow described as "a top commander" in the Al-Shabab, was also killed. ( Source: AP)
Iraq
A car bomb aimed at a U.S. patrol in Baghdad on Thursday killed at least nine Iraqi civilians and wounded 26. The explosion occurred about 9:15 a.m. in a crowded commercial area in eastern Baghdad, police officials said, adding the nine killed included three women and a child. The U.S. military said no American soldiers were killed, although three were wounded in the attack. ( Source: AP)
The U.S. military said it killed 17 militants amid escalating fighting in the Shiite slum Sadr City. In fighting late Wednesday and early Thursday in Sadr City, U.S. soldiers killed 17 militants in a series of clashes. Several of the militants had fired on the military or were preparing to. Other militants were killed while planting a roadside bomb. The fighting was reported in statements issued Thursday by the military. Health officials also said clashes in Baghdad's Shiite militia stronghold of Sadr City killed eight people, including two women and a child, and wounded 18 others, including women and children. Prime Minister Nouri al-Maliki has accused fighters of the anti-American cleric Muqtada al-Sadr's Mahdi Army of using residents as human shields during close combat in the teeming slum, which has become the epicenter of fighting since a government crackdown triggered clashes in late March. ( Source: AP)
United States
The Department of Homeland Security today will reportedly begin an eight-day disaster-preparedness drill, testing in part how federal, state and local government agencies would respond to a large-scale terrorist attack in Seattle. This drill, one of the largest emergency simulations ever planned in the Northwest, will center on three fictional events in Washington and Oregon. The first is a simulation of a terrorist attack on downtown Seattle today. The second is a release of toxic chemicals on May 5 at the Umatilla Chemical Depot in Oregon. And the third is an explosion of a chemical tanker truck on May 6 in Whatcom County. (Source: Seattle Times)
The Justice Department yesterday agreed to grant lawmakers limited access to secret memos that authorized CIA interrogation strategies, an offer that Senator Russell Feingold (D-Wis.) immediately criticized as "certainly too late . . . and too little, as well."
Bowing to intense pressure from congressional Democrats, senior Justice officials said they soon will release unredacted versions of memos drafted by staff members in the department's Office of Legal Counsel. Several of the controversial memos have been repudiated while others remain under fire from critics who say they encourage torture and civil liberties abuses. ( Source: Washington Post)
CIA Director Michael V. Hayden said in a speech yesterday that swelling populations and a global tide of immigration will present new security challenges for the United States by straining resources and stoking extremism and civil unrest in distant corners of the globe. The population surge could undermine the stability of some of the world's most fragile states, especially in Africa, while in the West, governments will be forced to grapple with ever larger immigrant communities and deepening divisions over ethnicity and race. Hayden, speaking at Kansas State University, described the projected 33 percent growth in global population over the next 40 years as one of three significant trends that will alter the security landscape in the current century. By 2050, the number of humans on Earth is expected to rise from 6.7 billion to more than 9 billion. With the population of countries such as Niger and Liberia projected to triple in size in 40 years, regional governments will be forced to rapidly find food, shelter and jobs for millions, or deal with restive populations that "could be easily attracted to violence, civil unrest, or extremism." Hayden sais European countries, many of which already have large immigrant communities, will see particular growth in their Muslim populations while the number of non-Muslims will shrink as birthrates fall. The CIA director also predicted a widening gulf between Europe and North America on how to deal with security threats, including terrorism. While U.S. and European officials agree on the urgency of the terrorism threat, there is a fundamental difference, a "transatlantic divide" over the solution. While the United States sees the fight against terrorism as a global war, European nations perceive the terrorist threat as a law enforcement problem. (Source: Washington Post)
Hayden also warned that Russia's declining population will require Moscow to import foreign workers, increasing racial and religious tensions in the former superpower that still has thousands of nuclear weapons. ( Source: Washington Times)
Africa
Zimbabwe's opposition rejected a presidential runoff election despite a media report Wednesday saying the long-delayed official tally delivered them a victory short of an outright win. CNN quoted an unidentified senior official with Zimbabwe's ruling ZANU-PF party as saying results from the March 29 election gave opposition leader Morgan Tsvangirai 47 percent of the votes while President Robert Mugabe trailed with 43 percent. (Source: AP)
Americas
The Canadian government has also been working on a quick-fix plan to buy six big Chinook helicopters from the United States army to bolster the Afghan mission and meet a requirement of the Manley report on extending the deployment. While government sources have suggested that the Chinook deal would cost "a couple of hundred million dollars," an American defense agency has told Washington legislators that the cost could run to $375 million when spares, tools, technical support and training are included. (Source: Chronicle Herald-CAN)
The Canadian government refused yesterday to fork over any extra cash to Sikorsky Inc., which has asked for hundreds of millions in additional funds to deliver promised helicopters to the Canadian Forces. Issuing a warning that applies to all federal suppliers, Public Works Minister Michael Fortier said Sikorsky has to live up to its $5-billion contracts to provide 28 Cyclone helicopters to replace Canada's 40-year-old Sea Kings.
Sikorsky won a competition in 2004 to replace Canada's aging fleet of Sea King maritime helicopters. At signing, the firm agreed to deliver the first replacement aircraft next January. But Sikorsky told the government earlier this year that it will not meet the original deadline, invoking a delay of up to 30 months. Senior government officials told The Globe and Mail this week that Sikorsky is also asking for $250-million to $500-million in extra funding to give additional power to its helicopter. (Source: Globe and Mail-CAN)
Mexican President Felipe Calderon's decision to talk with guerrillas linked to gas pipeline explosions could encourage foreign investment in Mexico at a time when the government is pushing to open the oil industry to private partnerships, experts said Wednesday.
Last year's pipeline attacks cost Mexico hundreds of millions of dollars and forced the shutdown of hundreds of businesses marking the resurgence of a shadowy leftist group that had been largely dormant since waging bloody battles with government troops in the 1990s. Negotiations could be the only way to prevent further guerrilla attacks, since it is nearly impossible to provide security for Mexico's nearly 7,000 miles (11,000 kilometers) of pipelines. Calderon's administration on Tuesday set various conditions for talks with the People's Revolutionary Army (ERP), which pledged a cease-fire during negotiations. ( Source: AP)
A dissident former general has been sentenced to more than 10 years in prison for bombing attacks on Spanish and Colombian diplomatic missions in Venezuela's capital.
The state-run Bolivarian News Agency reported Wednesday that former National Guard General Felipe Rodriguez was convicted of conspiracy and aggravated burning of property for the 2003 attacks. Rodriguez, who was sentenced Tuesday, was accused of planning the explosions at the Spanish Embassy and Colombian Consulate, which injured four people. Venezuelan officials said at the time that the bombings were meant to destabilize the government of President Hugo Chavez, who shortly beforehand had warned Spain and Colombia not to interfere in Venezuelan affairs. ( Source: AP)
France's top diplomat sought help from Venezuelan President Hugo Chavez on Wednesday to press for the liberation of rebel-held hostages in Colombia. Foreign Minister Bernard Kouchner is aiming at restarting talks to free hostages who include French-Colombian politician Ingrid Betancourt. ( Source: AP)
Asia
North Korea has tentatively agreed to give the United States thousands of records from its Yongbyon nuclear reactor dating back to 1990 to complement an expected declaration of its nuclear programs, administration and congressional officials said yesterday. The United States is seeking access to those records, as well as samples from toxic waste and the destruction of the "cooling tower" at the North's main nuclear complex in response to criticism that it is lowering the bar in negotiations with Pyongyang. The tentative agreement was reached last week in Pyongyang between Kim Kye-gwan, the chief North Korean negotiator, and Sung Kim, director of the Korea office at the State Department. North Korea missed a December 31, 2007, deadline to disclose details of its nuclear past, a key step in negotiations in which the North would receive aid and other economic assistance for giving up atomic weapons and the ability to produce them. The Bush administration has been holding off on announcing the latest deal to give the North Korean diplomat time to clear it with his superiors. Officials said they were waiting for official confirmation from Pyongyang, which could come as early as today. The United States estimates that North Korea has between 65 and 110 pounds of plutonium. It triggered a small nuclear explosion in an October 2006 test. Also last week, the administration told Congress that a Syrian plutonium facility that was bombed by Israel in September was built with North Korean help. (Source: Washington Times)
About 350 people fled their homes in northern Japan on Thursday to escape poisonous fumes released by a neighbor who killed himself by mixing detergent and other chemicals, the latest in a series of such suicides. The panic in Otaru came just hours after national police urged Internet providers to crack down on Web sites spurring a wave of detergent-related suicides in which 50 people have reportedly died in the past month.
The rash of such suicides in Japan, which already has one of the world's highest suicide rates, has triggered widespread concern because the powerful fumes can seriously harm bystanders and rescuers. (Source: AP)
Europe
Three bombs exploded in Spain's Basque region on Thursday. No one was injured in the blasts, which police said were carried out by the separatist group ETA. All three blasts, which occurred on the traditional workers holiday of May Day, targeted labor-related government buildings. Basque regional police said one of the bombs went off in Arrigorriaga near Bilbao and the other two exploded in San Sebastian. The first bomb targeted a Labor Ministry building and came without warning. The other two were preceded by a call from someone who claimed to be from ETA. The person warned when and where the bombs would explode. The San Sebastian bombs were smaller than the first and exploded near a Basque regional government office of an agency that deals with workplace safety. ETA declared a cease-fire in March 2006 but ended it in December of that year after failing to win concessions in talks with the government. The group has killed more than 800 people in its decades-old struggle to create an independent Basque homeland in northern Spain and southwest France. ( Source: AP)
It was reported that Ukraine faces an uphill battle in its efforts to join NATO, with objections from Russia and about half of its population opposed to membership in the Western alliance. Ukrainian officials are confident that their nation will eventually join NATO, despite Russian objections that kept it from being invited into the Membership Action Plan (MAP) at the alliance's recent summit in Bucharest, Romania. (Source: Washington Times)
http://washingtontimes.com/apps/pbcs.dll/article?AID=/20080501/FOREIGN/253562734/1003
Belarus expelled 10 U.S. diplomats Wednesday, deepening a dispute over sanctions imposed on the former Soviet republic by Washington because of the authoritarian rule of President Alexander Lukashenko. Jonathan Moore, the head of the U.S. mission, told reporters in the Belarusan capital, Minsk, that he had been summoned to the Foreign Ministry and informed that the American diplomats had 72 hours to leave the country.
(Source: Washington Post)
NATO repeated its warnings Wednesday to Russia against meddling in the affairs of Georgia as it deals with its two breakaway republics. The military alliance said Russia's actions threaten to "undermine the sovereignty and territorial integrity" of Georgia as it deals with the republics of Abkhazia and South Ossetia. Two days after a visit by Georgian special envoy David Bakradze to NATO headquarters in Brussels resulted in a warning to Russia to refrain from using force to aid the breakaway republics. Russia has sent peacekeeping troops to the region, saying it suspects Georgia is preparing to invade the breakaway republics amidst rising tensions. It says Georgia has gathered 1,500 soldiers and police units in the upper Kodori Gorge region of Abkhazia, where Tbilisi still holds sway. Georgia has denied it has any plans to invade the republics. (Source: UPI)
News agencies quoted the Russian Defense Ministry as saying that extra Russian troops deployed Thursday in the Georgian separatist zone of Abkhazia, despite Georgia's objections and concern in NATO. The troops were setting up camp, defenses and communications. There was no immediate information about how many extra troops had been sent to bolster the force of more than 2,000 peacekeepers already deployed under accords ending the separatist war between Georgia and the Abkhaz minority in the early 1990s. (Source: AFP)
Middle East
Several Palestinian militant groups signed off Wednesday on a temporary truce proposal, but a cease-fire appears unlikely. Israeli officials say it would merely be a pretext for Hamas and other militant groups to rearm for a new round of hostilities. Israeli government spokesman Mark Regev said Wednesday that if the Gaza militant groups stopped launching rockets at southern Israeli cities and halted weapons smuggling over the Egyptian border, Israeli army attacks would end automatically. The prospect of reopening the Rafah crossing and ending Gaza's isolation isn't yet an option, Regev said, but a period of mutual calm "could create a positive dynamic." (Source: Los Angeles Times/Minneapolis Star Tribune)
Twelve Palestinian factions have accepted Cairo's proposal for a temporary truce with Israel, beginning in Gaza, Egypt announced on Wednesday. As a reward for Hamas' acceptance of the Egyptian truce proposal, Egyptian authorities released Ramzi Hamid, 35, a senior commander of Hamas' armed wing, who was held in an Egyptian prison for four years. ( Source: Jerusalem Post)
On Wednesday, the Israel Air Force bombed a rocket-manufacturing plant in Rafah in Gaza, killing one person and wounding three. ( Source: Jerusalem Post)
The person killed in the Rafah airstrike was the deputy commander of the Islamic Jihad military wing, according to Palestinian sources, who said he also served as a school headmaster at a United Nations Relief and Works Agency school. (Source: CNN)
Palestinians in Gaza fired two Kassam rockets that landed near Sderot Wednesday night shortly after the Holocaust Remembrance Day ceremony began in the town's sheltered cultural center. Some 15 rockets were fired at Israel on Wednesday. (Source: Ynet News)
Senior U.S. administration officials stressed during meetings last week in Washington with Mahmoud Abbas that President George Bush does not intend at this stage to present guidelines of his own for resolving the core issues of an Israeli-Palestinian permanent peace agreement. The American message was that the administration is pleased with the pace of negotiations and does not intend to intervene with guidelines. Officials who met with Abbas in Washington also said Abbas had not brought any political proposal of his own regarding the core issues. "It was as though he had arrived without a real agenda and without preparing," one official said. ( Source: Ha'aretz-Israel)
Iran has taken command of its nuclear technology and could have an atomic bomb in a year, Transportation Minister, Shaul Mofaz, was quoted as saying Wednesday, citing Israeli intelligence. According to Israel Channel 10 television, Mofaz made the comments during talks with U.S. officials in Washington. ( Source: Jerusalem Post)
Joe Varner is Assistant Professor and Program Manager for Homeland Security at American Military University
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